Whose model is beating the baseline?
Opt-in user models scored against My CFB's public baseline on the exact same completed games.
- Season
- 2026
- Latest week included
- Week 2
- Latest included game
- Sep 11, 2026
Log in to choose a public model
- Newcomer0–99 games
- Seasoned100–499 games
- Veteran500+ games
Snapshot published ; latest included evaluation recorded .
Model rankings
Every public model is ranked. The badge shows how much game history supports its score.
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#1my test v2NewcomerAnonymous Fan VG8XT8EUAD
- Score
- -0.36
- Eligible games
- 97
- Straight-up
- 84–13 (86.6%)
- Margin error
- 25.0 pts Baseline 24.9
- Brier error
- 0.114 Baseline 0.110
Same games, conservative credit
Lower prediction error wins
The score starts with the public baseline's mean Brier error minus the user's mean Brier error on the exact same games. A positive score means the user model performed better.
Small samples are restrained
Positive skill is multiplied by games / (games + 50). Negative skill is not pulled toward zero. This prevents a new model with one lucky result from jumping to the top.
Everyone is ranked
Every public model receives a numeric rank. Newcomers have 0–99 eligible games, Seasoned models have 100–499, and Veterans have 500 or more.
One model at a time
An account can change its public model twice per football week. After a switch, the selected model's own season record replaces the old model's record; the two records are never combined.
Only official pregame predictions with a matching public-baseline evaluation count. Predictions made before public enrollment count, but My CFB never creates or changes a prediction after kickoff. Tied games and missing comparisons are excluded. Model settings, individual predictions, selection history, and account details remain private.