WEEK 4 MATCHUP
Away

App State

AT
Home

NC State

Game status: FINAL
31–41 NC State won

Saturday, September 26 · 6:30 PM CDT

MY CFB EXAMPLEMy CFB Example
Exact frozen prediction and factors

Provisional calibration: real-season accuracy is not established.

NC State by 3.6

Saved forecast

Why this pick?
Game controlModerately leans home
Avoiding bad lossesModerately leans away
Close-game gritModerately leans away
Defensive toughnessSmall effect
Scoring punchModerately leans home
Transfer portal impactSmall effect
Previous-season performanceModerately leans home
Recruiting strengthSmall effect
Returning productionSmall effect
Team talentSmall effect
Big-game winsNeutral effect
Recent formModerately leans away
Wins away from homeNeutral effect
Tough schedulesStrongly leans home
Statement winsNeutral effect
WinningStrongly leans away

Open this week’s matchup board.