WEEK 4 MATCHUP Game status: FINAL
10–63 Texas State won

Saturday, September 26 · 5:00 PM CDT

MY CFB EXAMPLEMy CFB Example
Exact frozen prediction and factors

Provisional calibration: real-season accuracy is not established.

Texas State by 5.5

Saved forecast

Why this pick?
Game controlModerately leans away
Avoiding bad lossesSmall effect
Close-game gritSmall effect
Defensive toughnessModerately leans away
Scoring punchSmall effect
Transfer portal impactModerately leans home
Previous-season performanceModerately leans home
Recruiting strengthModerately leans home
Returning productionModerately leans home
Team talentModerately leans home
Big-game winsSmall effect
Recent formSmall effect
Wins away from homeSmall effect
Tough schedulesSmall effect
Statement winsSmall effect
WinningSmall effect

Open this week’s matchup board.