PUBLIC RANKINGS

My CFB Baseline · 2026 through Week 5 · revision 3

2026 season · through week 5

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Calculated Oct 3, 2026 · 9:03 PM CDT.

My CFB Example rankings using persisted real data and the same point-in-time rules documented in the methodology.

Model configuration used
Configuration
Revision 3
Engine version
3.8.0-kickoff-chronology
Evidence cutoff
Oct 3, 2026 · 9:02 PM CDT
Factor keyNormalized share
adj_margin0.108108
avoid_bad_losses0.040541
close_game_wins0.027027
defense_ppg0.067568
offense_ppg0.067568
preseason_portal0.040541
preseason_previous_performance0.054054
preseason_recruiting0.067568
preseason_returning0.054054
preseason_talent0.067568
quality_wins0.081081
recent_form0.054054
road_neutral_wins0.040541
sos0.081081
statement_wins0.040541
win_pct0.108108

These values came from this immutable run, not the model’s current settings.

RankTeamExplanation
1Alabama Why here?
2Texas Why here?
3Notre Dame Why here?
4Texas Tech Why here?
5Utah Why here?
6Pittsburgh Why here?
7Georgia Why here?
8Indiana Why here?
9Missouri Why here?
10Oregon Why here?
11Houston Why here?
12BYU Why here?
13UCLA Why here?
14Nebraska Why here?
15Ohio State Why here?
16Florida Why here?
17Oklahoma State Why here?
18Northwestern Why here?
19Tennessee Why here?
20Kentucky Why here?
21LSU Why here?
22Miami Why here?
23Wisconsin Why here?
24Cincinnati Why here?
25Mississippi State Why here?
26UCF Why here?
27James Madison Why here?
28North Dakota State Why here?
29Virginia Tech Why here?
30South Florida Why here?
31Iowa Why here?
32Florida State Why here?
33Boise State Why here?
34Baylor Why here?
35Duke Why here?
36Arizona State Why here?
37SMU Why here?
38UTSA Why here?
39Kansas State Why here?
40Ole Miss Why here?
41USC Why here?
42Auburn Why here?
43North Carolina Why here?
44TCU Why here?
45Minnesota Why here?
46Oregon State Why here?
47West Virginia Why here?
48Clemson Why here?
49Iowa State Why here?
50Army Why here?