PUBLIC RANKINGS

My CFB Baseline · 2026 through Week 5 · revision 3

2026 season · through week 5

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Calculated Oct 3, 2026 · 9:14 PM CDT.

My CFB Example rankings using persisted real data and the same point-in-time rules documented in the methodology.

Model configuration used
Configuration
Revision 3
Engine version
3.8.0-kickoff-chronology
Evidence cutoff
Oct 3, 2026 · 9:13 PM CDT
Factor keyNormalized share
adj_margin0.108108
avoid_bad_losses0.040541
close_game_wins0.027027
defense_ppg0.067568
offense_ppg0.067568
preseason_portal0.040541
preseason_previous_performance0.054054
preseason_recruiting0.067568
preseason_returning0.054054
preseason_talent0.067568
quality_wins0.081081
recent_form0.054054
road_neutral_wins0.040541
sos0.081081
statement_wins0.040541
win_pct0.108108

These values came from this immutable run, not the model’s current settings.

RankTeamExplanation
51Liberty Why here?
52Georgia State Why here?
53Virginia Why here?
54Arizona Why here?
55TCU Why here?
56Washington Why here?
57Toledo Why here?
58New Mexico Why here?
59Kansas Why here?
60Tulsa Why here?
61Texas State Why here?
62Penn State Why here?
63Wake Forest Why here?
64North Texas Why here?
65NC State Why here?
66South Carolina Why here?
67Syracuse Why here?
68Massachusetts Why here?
69Florida Atlantic Why here?
70Memphis Why here?
71Air Force Why here?
72Vanderbilt Why here?
73Maryland Why here?
74Louisville Why here?
75Michigan Why here?
76Oklahoma Why here?
77Arkansas Why here?
78Colorado Why here?
79Louisiana Tech Why here?
80Purdue Why here?
81App State Why here?
82Louisiana Why here?
83California Why here?
84Illinois Why here?
85East Carolina Why here?
86Troy Why here?
87Arkansas State Why here?
88Fresno State Why here?
89Boston College Why here?
90Michigan State Why here?
91Washington State Why here?
92San Diego State Why here?
93Jacksonville State Why here?
94Rutgers Why here?
95Ohio Why here?
96Western Michigan Why here?
97UConn Why here?
98Florida International Why here?
99Temple Why here?
100Miami (OH) Why here?