PUBLIC RANKINGS

My CFB Baseline · 2026 through Week 5 · revision 3

2026 season · through week 5

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Calculated Oct 3, 2026 · 10:05 PM CDT.

My CFB Example rankings using persisted real data and the same point-in-time rules documented in the methodology.

Model configuration used
Configuration
Revision 3
Engine version
3.8.0-kickoff-chronology
Evidence cutoff
Oct 3, 2026 · 10:04 PM CDT
Factor keyNormalized share
adj_margin0.108108
avoid_bad_losses0.040541
close_game_wins0.027027
defense_ppg0.067568
offense_ppg0.067568
preseason_portal0.040541
preseason_previous_performance0.054054
preseason_recruiting0.067568
preseason_returning0.054054
preseason_talent0.067568
quality_wins0.081081
recent_form0.054054
road_neutral_wins0.040541
sos0.081081
statement_wins0.040541
win_pct0.108108

These values came from this immutable run, not the model’s current settings.

RankTeamExplanation
51Arizona Why here?
52South Florida Why here?
53TCU Why here?
54Liberty Why here?
55New Mexico Why here?
56Toledo Why here?
57Washington Why here?
58Kansas Why here?
59Tulsa Why here?
60Wake Forest Why here?
61Penn State Why here?
62NC State Why here?
63North Texas Why here?
64Syracuse Why here?
65Texas State Why here?
66South Carolina Why here?
67Massachusetts Why here?
68Army Why here?
69Air Force Why here?
70Memphis Why here?
71Florida Atlantic Why here?
72Louisiana Tech Why here?
73Maryland Why here?
74Vanderbilt Why here?
75Louisville Why here?
76Michigan Why here?
77Oklahoma Why here?
78Arkansas Why here?
79Colorado Why here?
80Temple Why here?
81Purdue Why here?
82App State Why here?
83Louisiana Why here?
84California Why here?
85East Carolina Why here?
86Illinois Why here?
87Arkansas State Why here?
88Troy Why here?
89Fresno State Why here?
90Boston College Why here?
91Michigan State Why here?
92Georgia Southern Why here?
93San Diego State Why here?
94Washington State Why here?
95Jacksonville State Why here?
96Rutgers Why here?
97Western Michigan Why here?
98Ohio Why here?
99UConn Why here?
100Miami (OH) Why here?