PUBLIC RANKINGS

My CFB Baseline · 2026 through Week 3 · revision 3

2026 season · through week 3

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Calculated Sep 19, 2026 · 2:09 PM CDT.

My CFB Example rankings using persisted real data and the same point-in-time rules documented in the methodology.

Model configuration used
Configuration
Revision 3
Engine version
3.8.0-kickoff-chronology
Evidence cutoff
Sep 19, 2026 · 2:08 PM CDT
Factor keyNormalized share
adj_margin0.108108
avoid_bad_losses0.040541
close_game_wins0.027027
defense_ppg0.067568
offense_ppg0.067568
preseason_portal0.040541
preseason_previous_performance0.054054
preseason_recruiting0.067568
preseason_returning0.054054
preseason_talent0.067568
quality_wins0.081081
recent_form0.054054
road_neutral_wins0.040541
sos0.081081
statement_wins0.040541
win_pct0.108108

These values came from this immutable run, not the model’s current settings.

RankTeamExplanation
51Michigan State Why here?
52South Florida Why here?
53Ohio State Why here?
54App State Why here?
55Louisville Why here?
56Wisconsin Why here?
57Western Michigan Why here?
58Mississippi State Why here?
59Houston Why here?
60UConn Why here?
61Kennesaw State Why here?
62Air Force Why here?
63Louisiana Tech Why here?
64Southern Miss Why here?
65Toledo Why here?
66Kentucky Why here?
67San Diego State Why here?
68Oregon Why here?
69Purdue Why here?
70Clemson Why here?
71Arkansas Why here?
72Iowa State Why here?
73UTSA Why here?
74Louisiana Why here?
75Missouri State Why here?
76Old Dominion Why here?
77California Why here?
78Minnesota Why here?
79Army Why here?
80Coastal Carolina Why here?
81Syracuse Why here?
82Massachusetts Why here?
83Liberty Why here?
84Miami (OH) Why here?
85Rice Why here?
86Florida State Why here?
87Temple Why here?
88Akron Why here?
89Troy Why here?
90Georgia Southern Why here?
91Kent State Why here?
92Wyoming Why here?
93Navy Why here?
94UTEP Why here?
95Central Michigan Why here?
96Tulsa Why here?
97Washington Why here?
98Jacksonville State Why here?
99Florida Atlantic Why here?
100Middle Tennessee Why here?