PUBLIC RANKINGS

My CFB Baseline · 2026 through Week 5 · revision 3

2026 season · through week 5

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Calculated Oct 3, 2026 · 11:53 PM CDT.

My CFB Example rankings using persisted real data and the same point-in-time rules documented in the methodology.

Model configuration used
Configuration
Revision 3
Engine version
3.8.0-kickoff-chronology
Evidence cutoff
Oct 3, 2026 · 11:53 PM CDT
Factor keyNormalized share
adj_margin0.108108
avoid_bad_losses0.040541
close_game_wins0.027027
defense_ppg0.067568
offense_ppg0.067568
preseason_portal0.040541
preseason_previous_performance0.054054
preseason_recruiting0.067568
preseason_returning0.054054
preseason_talent0.067568
quality_wins0.081081
recent_form0.054054
road_neutral_wins0.040541
sos0.081081
statement_wins0.040541
win_pct0.108108

These values came from this immutable run, not the model’s current settings.

RankTeamExplanation
51Liberty Why here?
52Arizona Why here?
53Toledo Why here?
54New Mexico Why here?
55TCU Why here?
56Kansas Why here?
57Wake Forest Why here?
58Tulsa Why here?
59Penn State Why here?
60Clemson Why here?
61NC State Why here?
62North Texas Why here?
63South Carolina Why here?
64Syracuse Why here?
65Texas State Why here?
66Washington Why here?
67Army Why here?
68Air Force Why here?
69Louisiana Tech Why here?
70Florida Atlantic Why here?
71Massachusetts Why here?
72Memphis Why here?
73Vanderbilt Why here?
74Maryland Why here?
75Louisville Why here?
76Oklahoma Why here?
77Michigan Why here?
78Arkansas Why here?
79Temple Why here?
80Louisiana Why here?
81Purdue Why here?
82App State Why here?
83East Carolina Why here?
84Illinois Why here?
85California Why here?
86Troy Why here?
87Colorado Why here?
88Fresno State Why here?
89Michigan State Why here?
90San Diego State Why here?
91Boston College Why here?
92Jacksonville State Why here?
93Georgia Southern Why here?
94Washington State Why here?
95Ohio Why here?
96Western Michigan Why here?
97UConn Why here?
98Miami (OH) Why here?
99Florida International Why here?
100Arkansas State Why here?