PUBLIC RANKINGS

My CFB Baseline · 2026 through Week 3 · revision 3

2026 season · through week 3

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Calculated Sep 19, 2026 · 2:32 PM CDT.

My CFB Example rankings using persisted real data and the same point-in-time rules documented in the methodology.

Model configuration used
Configuration
Revision 3
Engine version
3.8.0-kickoff-chronology
Evidence cutoff
Sep 19, 2026 · 2:30 PM CDT
Factor keyNormalized share
adj_margin0.108108
avoid_bad_losses0.040541
close_game_wins0.027027
defense_ppg0.067568
offense_ppg0.067568
preseason_portal0.040541
preseason_previous_performance0.054054
preseason_recruiting0.067568
preseason_returning0.054054
preseason_talent0.067568
quality_wins0.081081
recent_form0.054054
road_neutral_wins0.040541
sos0.081081
statement_wins0.040541
win_pct0.108108

These values came from this immutable run, not the model’s current settings.

RankTeamExplanation
101Boise State Why here?
102Washington Why here?
103South Alabama Why here?
104Duke Why here?
105Arkansas State Why here?
106Middle Tennessee Why here?
107Ball State Why here?
108Akron Why here?
109North Texas Why here?
110Oklahoma State Why here?
111Boston College Why here?
112Memphis Why here?
113Marshall Why here?
114Ohio Why here?
115Sacramento State Why here?
116Oregon State Why here?
117East Carolina Why here?
118Nevada Why here?
119New Mexico State Why here?
120Florida International Why here?
121Illinois Why here?
122Tulane Why here?
123Eastern Michigan Why here?
124Buffalo Why here?
125Rutgers Why here?
126Stanford Why here?
127Sam Houston Why here?
128Charlotte Why here?
129Texas State Why here?
130UAB Why here?
131Utah State Why here?
132Western Kentucky Why here?
133UNLV Why here?
134Hawai'i Why here?
135Northern Illinois Why here?
136Washington State Why here?
137Bowling Green Why here?
138UL Monroe Why here?