PUBLIC RANKINGS

My CFB Baseline · 2026 through Week 5 · revision 3

2026 season · through week 5

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Calculated Oct 4, 2026 · 1:11 AM CDT.

My CFB Example rankings using persisted real data and the same point-in-time rules documented in the methodology.

Model configuration used
Configuration
Revision 3
Engine version
3.8.0-kickoff-chronology
Evidence cutoff
Oct 4, 2026 · 1:11 AM CDT
Factor keyNormalized share
adj_margin0.108108
avoid_bad_losses0.040541
close_game_wins0.027027
defense_ppg0.067568
offense_ppg0.067568
preseason_portal0.040541
preseason_previous_performance0.054054
preseason_recruiting0.067568
preseason_returning0.054054
preseason_talent0.067568
quality_wins0.081081
recent_form0.054054
road_neutral_wins0.040541
sos0.081081
statement_wins0.040541
win_pct0.108108

These values came from this immutable run, not the model’s current settings.

RankTeamExplanation
51Toledo Why here?
52New Mexico Why here?
53TCU Why here?
54Wake Forest Why here?
55Tulsa Why here?
56Penn State Why here?
57Clemson Why here?
58NC State Why here?
59Arizona Why here?
60Arizona State Why here?
61North Texas Why here?
62Syracuse Why here?
63Texas State Why here?
64South Carolina Why here?
65Kansas Why here?
66Army Why here?
67Louisiana Tech Why here?
68Air Force Why here?
69Florida Atlantic Why here?
70Massachusetts Why here?
71Vanderbilt Why here?
72Memphis Why here?
73Maryland Why here?
74Louisville Why here?
75Washington Why here?
76Oklahoma Why here?
77Michigan Why here?
78Arkansas Why here?
79Temple Why here?
80Louisiana Why here?
81Purdue Why here?
82Fresno State Why here?
83App State Why here?
84East Carolina Why here?
85Illinois Why here?
86California Why here?
87Colorado Why here?
88Troy Why here?
89Michigan State Why here?
90San Diego State Why here?
91Boston College Why here?
92Western Michigan Why here?
93Jacksonville State Why here?
94Georgia Southern Why here?
95Ohio Why here?
96UConn Why here?
97Miami (OH) Why here?
98Florida International Why here?
99Eastern Michigan Why here?
100Arkansas State Why here?