PUBLIC RANKINGS

My CFB Baseline · 2026 through Week 5 · revision 3

2026 season · through week 5

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Calculated Oct 4, 2026 · 1:11 AM CDT.

My CFB Example rankings using persisted real data and the same point-in-time rules documented in the methodology.

Model configuration used
Configuration
Revision 3
Engine version
3.8.0-kickoff-chronology
Evidence cutoff
Oct 4, 2026 · 1:11 AM CDT
Factor keyNormalized share
adj_margin0.108108
avoid_bad_losses0.040541
close_game_wins0.027027
defense_ppg0.067568
offense_ppg0.067568
preseason_portal0.040541
preseason_previous_performance0.054054
preseason_recruiting0.067568
preseason_returning0.054054
preseason_talent0.067568
quality_wins0.081081
recent_form0.054054
road_neutral_wins0.040541
sos0.081081
statement_wins0.040541
win_pct0.108108

These values came from this immutable run, not the model’s current settings.

RankTeamExplanation
101Rutgers Why here?
102Sam Houston Why here?
103UAB Why here?
104Tulane Why here?
105South Alabama Why here?
106Colorado State Why here?
107Delaware Why here?
108Kennesaw State Why here?
109Georgia Tech Why here?
110Washington State Why here?
111San José State Why here?
112Navy Why here?
113Central Michigan Why here?
114Marshall Why here?
115Coastal Carolina Why here?
116New Mexico State Why here?
117Utah State Why here?
118UNLV Why here?
119Rice Why here?
120Old Dominion Why here?
121Missouri State Why here?
122Southern Miss Why here?
123Buffalo Why here?
124Western Kentucky Why here?
125Kent State Why here?
126Middle Tennessee Why here?
127Nevada Why here?
128Bowling Green Why here?
129Wyoming Why here?
130Sacramento State Why here?
131UTEP Why here?
132Ball State Why here?
133Stanford Why here?
134Northern Illinois Why here?
135Hawai'i Why here?
136Akron Why here?
137UL Monroe Why here?
138Charlotte Why here?