PUBLIC RANKINGS

My CFB Baseline · 2026 through Week 5 · revision 3

2026 season · through week 5

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Calculated Oct 4, 2026 · 7:01 AM CDT.

My CFB Example rankings using persisted real data and the same point-in-time rules documented in the methodology.

Model configuration used
Configuration
Revision 3
Engine version
3.8.0-kickoff-chronology
Evidence cutoff
Oct 4, 2026 · 5:03 AM CDT
Factor keyNormalized share
adj_margin0.108108
avoid_bad_losses0.040541
close_game_wins0.027027
defense_ppg0.067568
offense_ppg0.067568
preseason_portal0.040541
preseason_previous_performance0.054054
preseason_recruiting0.067568
preseason_returning0.054054
preseason_talent0.067568
quality_wins0.081081
recent_form0.054054
road_neutral_wins0.040541
sos0.081081
statement_wins0.040541
win_pct0.108108

These values came from this immutable run, not the model’s current settings.

RankTeamExplanation
51TCU Why here?
52Kansas State Why here?
53Toledo Why here?
54Cincinnati Why here?
55Wake Forest Why here?
56Tulsa Why here?
57Penn State Why here?
58Clemson Why here?
59NC State Why here?
60Arizona State Why here?
61Kansas Why here?
62South Carolina Why here?
63Syracuse Why here?
64North Texas Why here?
65Army Why here?
66Louisiana Tech Why here?
67Air Force Why here?
68Florida Atlantic Why here?
69Vanderbilt Why here?
70Memphis Why here?
71Massachusetts Why here?
72Louisville Why here?
73Maryland Why here?
74Washington Why here?
75Michigan Why here?
76Oklahoma Why here?
77Arkansas Why here?
78Texas State Why here?
79Temple Why here?
80Louisiana Why here?
81Purdue Why here?
82San Diego State Why here?
83App State Why here?
84East Carolina Why here?
85Illinois Why here?
86California Why here?
87Colorado Why here?
88Fresno State Why here?
89Troy Why here?
90Michigan State Why here?
91Jacksonville State Why here?
92Georgia Southern Why here?
93Western Michigan Why here?
94Ohio Why here?
95UConn Why here?
96Boston College Why here?
97Florida International Why here?
98Arkansas State Why here?
99Sam Houston Why here?
100Miami (OH) Why here?