PUBLIC RANKINGS

My CFB Baseline · 2026 through Week 3 · revision 3

2026 season · through week 3

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Calculated Sep 19, 2026 · 4:09 PM CDT.

My CFB Example rankings using persisted real data and the same point-in-time rules documented in the methodology.

Model configuration used
Configuration
Revision 3
Engine version
3.8.0-kickoff-chronology
Evidence cutoff
Sep 19, 2026 · 4:07 PM CDT
Factor keyNormalized share
adj_margin0.108108
avoid_bad_losses0.040541
close_game_wins0.027027
defense_ppg0.067568
offense_ppg0.067568
preseason_portal0.040541
preseason_previous_performance0.054054
preseason_recruiting0.067568
preseason_returning0.054054
preseason_talent0.067568
quality_wins0.081081
recent_form0.054054
road_neutral_wins0.040541
sos0.081081
statement_wins0.040541
win_pct0.108108

These values came from this immutable run, not the model’s current settings.

RankTeamExplanation
51Nebraska Why here?
52Houston Why here?
53Michigan State Why here?
54South Florida Why here?
55UConn Why here?
56Minnesota Why here?
57Wisconsin Why here?
58Kennesaw State Why here?
59NC State Why here?
60Air Force Why here?
61Kentucky Why here?
62Southern Miss Why here?
63Louisiana Tech Why here?
64San Diego State Why here?
65Wake Forest Why here?
66Oregon Why here?
67Kansas State Why here?
68Kansas Why here?
69Clemson Why here?
70Toledo Why here?
71UTSA Why here?
72Georgia Tech Why here?
73Purdue Why here?
74Iowa State Why here?
75Louisiana Why here?
76California Why here?
77Old Dominion Why here?
78Missouri State Why here?
79Syracuse Why here?
80Coastal Carolina Why here?
81Massachusetts Why here?
82Army Why here?
83Miami (OH) Why here?
84Liberty Why here?
85Florida State Why here?
86Rice Why here?
87Troy Why here?
88Georgia Southern Why here?
89Temple Why here?
90Central Michigan Why here?
91Arkansas Why here?
92Navy Why here?
93UTEP Why here?
94Tulsa Why here?
95Ball State Why here?
96Florida Atlantic Why here?
97Jacksonville State Why here?
98Duke Why here?
99South Alabama Why here?
100Washington Why here?