PUBLIC RANKINGS

My CFB Baseline · 2026 through Week 3 · revision 3

2026 season · through week 3

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Calculated Sep 19, 2026 · 4:09 PM CDT.

My CFB Example rankings using persisted real data and the same point-in-time rules documented in the methodology.

Model configuration used
Configuration
Revision 3
Engine version
3.8.0-kickoff-chronology
Evidence cutoff
Sep 19, 2026 · 4:07 PM CDT
Factor keyNormalized share
adj_margin0.108108
avoid_bad_losses0.040541
close_game_wins0.027027
defense_ppg0.067568
offense_ppg0.067568
preseason_portal0.040541
preseason_previous_performance0.054054
preseason_recruiting0.067568
preseason_returning0.054054
preseason_talent0.067568
quality_wins0.081081
recent_form0.054054
road_neutral_wins0.040541
sos0.081081
statement_wins0.040541
win_pct0.108108

These values came from this immutable run, not the model’s current settings.

RankTeamExplanation
101Middle Tennessee Why here?
102Boise State Why here?
103Fresno State Why here?
104San José State Why here?
105Arkansas State Why here?
106Akron Why here?
107Kent State Why here?
108Wyoming Why here?
109Oklahoma State Why here?
110Boston College Why here?
111Marshall Why here?
112Ohio Why here?
113Memphis Why here?
114Oregon State Why here?
115East Carolina Why here?
116Sacramento State Why here?
117Florida International Why here?
118Nevada Why here?
119Texas State Why here?
120New Mexico State Why here?
121Illinois Why here?
122Tulane Why here?
123Buffalo Why here?
124Rutgers Why here?
125North Texas Why here?
126Stanford Why here?
127Sam Houston Why here?
128Charlotte Why here?
129UAB Why here?
130Eastern Michigan Why here?
131Western Kentucky Why here?
132Utah State Why here?
133Washington State Why here?
134Northern Illinois Why here?
135UNLV Why here?
136Hawai'i Why here?
137Bowling Green Why here?
138UL Monroe Why here?