PUBLIC RANKINGS

My CFB Baseline · 2026 through Week 3 · revision 3

2026 season · through week 3

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Calculated Sep 19, 2026 · 5:58 PM CDT.

My CFB Example rankings using persisted real data and the same point-in-time rules documented in the methodology.

Model configuration used
Configuration
Revision 3
Engine version
3.8.0-kickoff-chronology
Evidence cutoff
Sep 19, 2026 · 5:56 PM CDT
Factor keyNormalized share
adj_margin0.108108
avoid_bad_losses0.040541
close_game_wins0.027027
defense_ppg0.067568
offense_ppg0.067568
preseason_portal0.040541
preseason_previous_performance0.054054
preseason_recruiting0.067568
preseason_returning0.054054
preseason_talent0.067568
quality_wins0.081081
recent_form0.054054
road_neutral_wins0.040541
sos0.081081
statement_wins0.040541
win_pct0.108108

These values came from this immutable run, not the model’s current settings.

RankTeamExplanation
1Texas A&M Why here?
2Notre Dame Why here?
3Tennessee Why here?
4Maryland Why here?
5LSU Why here?
6Missouri Why here?
7Auburn Why here?
8UCLA Why here?
9Georgia State Why here?
10Virginia Why here?
11Alabama Why here?
12BYU Why here?
13Virginia Tech Why here?
14Pittsburgh Why here?
15North Dakota State Why here?
16Florida Why here?
17South Carolina Why here?
18Utah Why here?
19Colorado Why here?
20Ole Miss Why here?
21West Virginia Why here?
22Arizona State Why here?
23Vanderbilt Why here?
24Michigan Why here?
25Miami Why here?
26Texas Why here?
27Georgia Why here?
28California Why here?
29New Mexico Why here?
30SMU Why here?
31Northwestern Why here?
32Mississippi State Why here?
33USC Why here?
34Baylor Why here?
35James Madison Why here?
36Kansas State Why here?
37Cincinnati Why here?
38North Carolina Why here?
39Indiana Why here?
40Texas Tech Why here?
41Ohio State Why here?
42UCF Why here?
43Penn State Why here?
44Arizona Why here?
45Clemson Why here?
46Colorado State Why here?
47Delaware Why here?
48Iowa Why here?
49TCU Why here?
50San Diego State Why here?