PUBLIC RANKINGS

My CFB Baseline · 2026 through Week 3 · revision 3

2026 season · through week 3

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Calculated Sep 19, 2026 · 7:58 PM CDT.

My CFB Example rankings using persisted real data and the same point-in-time rules documented in the methodology.

Model configuration used
Configuration
Revision 3
Engine version
3.8.0-kickoff-chronology
Evidence cutoff
Sep 19, 2026 · 7:57 PM CDT
Factor keyNormalized share
adj_margin0.108108
avoid_bad_losses0.040541
close_game_wins0.027027
defense_ppg0.067568
offense_ppg0.067568
preseason_portal0.040541
preseason_previous_performance0.054054
preseason_recruiting0.067568
preseason_returning0.054054
preseason_talent0.067568
quality_wins0.081081
recent_form0.054054
road_neutral_wins0.040541
sos0.081081
statement_wins0.040541
win_pct0.108108

These values came from this immutable run, not the model’s current settings.

RankTeamExplanation
1Notre Dame Why here?
2Tennessee Why here?
3Maryland Why here?
4Alabama Why here?
5Auburn Why here?
6LSU Why here?
7UCLA Why here?
8Missouri Why here?
9Georgia State Why here?
10Virginia Why here?
11BYU Why here?
12Virginia Tech Why here?
13Pittsburgh Why here?
14Florida Why here?
15North Dakota State Why here?
16South Carolina Why here?
17Mississippi State Why here?
18Texas A&M Why here?
19Colorado Why here?
20Iowa Why here?
21West Virginia Why here?
22Michigan Why here?
23Vanderbilt Why here?
24Ole Miss Why here?
25Baylor Why here?
26Utah Why here?
27Kentucky Why here?
28Miami Why here?
29Georgia Why here?
30James Madison Why here?
31California Why here?
32New Mexico Why here?
33Northwestern Why here?
34Texas Why here?
35Cincinnati Why here?
36Texas Tech Why here?
37Kansas State Why here?
38Arizona State Why here?
39North Carolina Why here?
40UCF Why here?
41Penn State Why here?
42Arizona Why here?
43Colorado State Why here?
44Louisville Why here?
45Delaware Why here?
46Clemson Why here?
47Indiana Why here?
48Minnesota Why here?
49App State Why here?
50TCU Why here?