PUBLIC RANKINGS

My CFB Baseline · 2026 through Week 3 · revision 3

2026 season · through week 3

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Calculated Sep 19, 2026 · 9:16 PM CDT.

My CFB Example rankings using persisted real data and the same point-in-time rules documented in the methodology.

Model configuration used
Configuration
Revision 3
Engine version
3.8.0-kickoff-chronology
Evidence cutoff
Sep 19, 2026 · 9:13 PM CDT
Factor keyNormalized share
adj_margin0.108108
avoid_bad_losses0.040541
close_game_wins0.027027
defense_ppg0.067568
offense_ppg0.067568
preseason_portal0.040541
preseason_previous_performance0.054054
preseason_recruiting0.067568
preseason_returning0.054054
preseason_talent0.067568
quality_wins0.081081
recent_form0.054054
road_neutral_wins0.040541
sos0.081081
statement_wins0.040541
win_pct0.108108

These values came from this immutable run, not the model’s current settings.

RankTeamExplanation
101Boise State Why here?
102Middle Tennessee Why here?
103Akron Why here?
104Arkansas State Why here?
105Tulane Why here?
106Marshall Why here?
107East Carolina Why here?
108Florida Atlantic Why here?
109Ohio Why here?
110Wyoming Why here?
111UTEP Why here?
112San José State Why here?
113Fresno State Why here?
114Missouri State Why here?
115Kent State Why here?
116Oregon State Why here?
117Memphis Why here?
118Ball State Why here?
119Nevada Why here?
120UAB Why here?
121Sam Houston Why here?
122Rutgers Why here?
123Sacramento State Why here?
124Utah State Why here?
125New Mexico State Why here?
126Northern Illinois Why here?
127Florida International Why here?
128Texas State Why here?
129Buffalo Why here?
130Charlotte Why here?
131North Texas Why here?
132Hawai'i Why here?
133UNLV Why here?
134Stanford Why here?
135Western Kentucky Why here?
136UL Monroe Why here?
137Bowling Green Why here?
138Eastern Michigan Why here?