PUBLIC RANKINGS

My CFB Baseline · 2026 through Week 3 · revision 3

2026 season · through week 3

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Calculated Sep 19, 2026 · 9:49 PM CDT.

My CFB Example rankings using persisted real data and the same point-in-time rules documented in the methodology.

Model configuration used
Configuration
Revision 3
Engine version
3.8.0-kickoff-chronology
Evidence cutoff
Sep 19, 2026 · 9:47 PM CDT
Factor keyNormalized share
adj_margin0.108108
avoid_bad_losses0.040541
close_game_wins0.027027
defense_ppg0.067568
offense_ppg0.067568
preseason_portal0.040541
preseason_previous_performance0.054054
preseason_recruiting0.067568
preseason_returning0.054054
preseason_talent0.067568
quality_wins0.081081
recent_form0.054054
road_neutral_wins0.040541
sos0.081081
statement_wins0.040541
win_pct0.108108

These values came from this immutable run, not the model’s current settings.

RankTeamExplanation
51Colorado State Why here?
52Indiana Why here?
53Minnesota Why here?
54Western Michigan Why here?
55TCU Why here?
56San Diego State Why here?
57SMU Why here?
58USC Why here?
59Ohio State Why here?
60Massachusetts Why here?
61Troy Why here?
62Air Force Why here?
63Houston Why here?
64Clemson Why here?
65NC State Why here?
66New Mexico Why here?
67App State Why here?
68Iowa State Why here?
69Syracuse Why here?
70Kennesaw State Why here?
71Georgia Tech Why here?
72Wake Forest Why here?
73Toledo Why here?
74Purdue Why here?
75South Florida Why here?
76Duke Why here?
77Wisconsin Why here?
78Liberty Why here?
79UTSA Why here?
80Coastal Carolina Why here?
81Kansas Why here?
82Sam Houston Why here?
83Louisiana Tech Why here?
84Army Why here?
85Illinois Why here?
86Boise State Why here?
87Louisiana Why here?
88Miami (OH) Why here?
89Washington State Why here?
90Memphis Why here?
91Michigan State Why here?
92Southern Miss Why here?
93Jacksonville State Why here?
94Arkansas State Why here?
95Arkansas Why here?
96Temple Why here?
97Boston College Why here?
98South Alabama Why here?
99Florida State Why here?
100Central Michigan Why here?