PUBLIC RANKINGS

My CFB Baseline · 2026 through Week 3 · revision 3

2026 season · through week 3

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Calculated Sep 19, 2026 · 10:11 PM CDT.

My CFB Example rankings using persisted real data and the same point-in-time rules documented in the methodology.

Model configuration used
Configuration
Revision 3
Engine version
3.8.0-kickoff-chronology
Evidence cutoff
Sep 19, 2026 · 10:08 PM CDT
Factor keyNormalized share
adj_margin0.108108
avoid_bad_losses0.040541
close_game_wins0.027027
defense_ppg0.067568
offense_ppg0.067568
preseason_portal0.040541
preseason_previous_performance0.054054
preseason_recruiting0.067568
preseason_returning0.054054
preseason_talent0.067568
quality_wins0.081081
recent_form0.054054
road_neutral_wins0.040541
sos0.081081
statement_wins0.040541
win_pct0.108108

These values came from this immutable run, not the model’s current settings.

RankTeamExplanation
101Central Michigan Why here?
102Navy Why here?
103Georgia Southern Why here?
104Old Dominion Why here?
105Middle Tennessee Why here?
106Akron Why here?
107Florida Atlantic Why here?
108East Carolina Why here?
109UTEP Why here?
110Tulane Why here?
111Wyoming Why here?
112Marshall Why here?
113Kent State Why here?
114Fresno State Why here?
115San José State Why here?
116Missouri State Why here?
117Oregon State Why here?
118Ohio Why here?
119Ball State Why here?
120Utah State Why here?
121UAB Why here?
122Rutgers Why here?
123Florida International Why here?
124Sacramento State Why here?
125New Mexico State Why here?
126Buffalo Why here?
127Texas State Why here?
128Northern Illinois Why here?
129Nevada Why here?
130North Texas Why here?
131Charlotte Why here?
132UNLV Why here?
133Hawai'i Why here?
134Stanford Why here?
135Western Kentucky Why here?
136UL Monroe Why here?
137Bowling Green Why here?
138Eastern Michigan Why here?