PUBLIC RANKINGS

My CFB Baseline · 2026 through Week 1 · revision 2

2026 season · through week 1

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Public baseline rankings using persisted real data and the same point-in-time rules documented in the methodology.

Model configuration used
Configuration
Revision 2
Engine version
3.7.0-frozen-classification
Evidence cutoff
Sep 10, 2026 · 11:46 PM CDT
Factor keyNormalized share
adj_margin0.108108
avoid_bad_losses0.040541
close_game_wins0.027027
defense_ppg0.067568
offense_ppg0.067568
preseason_portal0.040541
preseason_previous_performance0.054054
preseason_recruiting0.067568
preseason_returning0.054054
preseason_talent0.067568
quality_wins0.081081
recent_form0.054054
road_neutral_wins0.040541
sos0.081081
statement_wins0.040541
win_pct0.108108

These values came from this immutable run, not the model’s current settings.

RankTeamExplanation
101NC State Why here?
102Wisconsin Why here?
103Rutgers Why here?
104Western Michigan Why here?
105California Why here?
106Toledo Why here?
107Charlotte Why here?
108Boise State Why here?
109Washington State Why here?
110Hawai'i Why here?
111Liberty Why here?
112Texas State Why here?
113Tulane Why here?
114UAB Why here?
115Marshall Why here?
116Oregon State Why here?
117Bowling Green Why here?
118Boston College Why here?
119Western Kentucky Why here?
120Arkansas State Why here?
121Sam Houston Why here?
122Oklahoma State Why here?
123Ohio Why here?
124Coastal Carolina Why here?
125Florida International Why here?
126Akron Why here?
127East Carolina Why here?
128Florida Atlantic Why here?
129North Texas Why here?
130Miami (OH) Why here?
131Wyoming Why here?
132Central Michigan Why here?
133Kent State Why here?
134UL Monroe Why here?
135Missouri State Why here?
136UTEP Why here?
137Ball State Why here?
138Northern Illinois Why here?