PUBLIC RANKINGS

My CFB Baseline · 2026 through Week 3 · revision 3

2026 season · through week 3

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Calculated Sep 19, 2026 · 10:22 PM CDT.

My CFB Example rankings using persisted real data and the same point-in-time rules documented in the methodology.

Model configuration used
Configuration
Revision 3
Engine version
3.8.0-kickoff-chronology
Evidence cutoff
Sep 19, 2026 · 10:19 PM CDT
Factor keyNormalized share
adj_margin0.108108
avoid_bad_losses0.040541
close_game_wins0.027027
defense_ppg0.067568
offense_ppg0.067568
preseason_portal0.040541
preseason_previous_performance0.054054
preseason_recruiting0.067568
preseason_returning0.054054
preseason_talent0.067568
quality_wins0.081081
recent_form0.054054
road_neutral_wins0.040541
sos0.081081
statement_wins0.040541
win_pct0.108108

These values came from this immutable run, not the model’s current settings.

RankTeamExplanation
1Tennessee Why here?
2UCLA Why here?
3Virginia Tech Why here?
4Missouri Why here?
5LSU Why here?
6West Virginia Why here?
7Florida Why here?
8Notre Dame Why here?
9BYU Why here?
10North Dakota State Why here?
11Pittsburgh Why here?
12Tulsa Why here?
13Mississippi State Why here?
14Maryland Why here?
15Alabama Why here?
16Northwestern Why here?
17Iowa Why here?
18UCF Why here?
19Vanderbilt Why here?
20Utah Why here?
21Michigan Why here?
22Ole Miss Why here?
23Virginia Why here?
24Auburn Why here?
25South Florida Why here?
26Miami Why here?
27James Madison Why here?
28Georgia Why here?
29California Why here?
30Kansas State Why here?
31Baylor Why here?
32Texas A&M Why here?
33Oregon Why here?
34Cincinnati Why here?
35Texas Tech Why here?
36Penn State Why here?
37Texas Why here?
38South Carolina Why here?
39Georgia State Why here?
40Oklahoma State Why here?
41Nebraska Why here?
42Kentucky Why here?
43Oklahoma Why here?
44Washington Why here?
45North Carolina Why here?
46Arizona Why here?
47Arizona State Why here?
48Louisville Why here?
49Delaware Why here?
50Colorado State Why here?