PUBLIC RANKINGS

My CFB Baseline · 2026 through Week 3 · revision 3

2026 season · through week 3

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Calculated Sep 20, 2026 · 1:05 AM CDT.

My CFB Example rankings using persisted real data and the same point-in-time rules documented in the methodology.

Model configuration used
Configuration
Revision 3
Engine version
3.8.0-kickoff-chronology
Evidence cutoff
Sep 20, 2026 · 1:02 AM CDT
Factor keyNormalized share
adj_margin0.108108
avoid_bad_losses0.040541
close_game_wins0.027027
defense_ppg0.067568
offense_ppg0.067568
preseason_portal0.040541
preseason_previous_performance0.054054
preseason_recruiting0.067568
preseason_returning0.054054
preseason_talent0.067568
quality_wins0.081081
recent_form0.054054
road_neutral_wins0.040541
sos0.081081
statement_wins0.040541
win_pct0.108108

These values came from this immutable run, not the model’s current settings.

RankTeamExplanation
101Central Michigan Why here?
102Old Dominion Why here?
103Arkansas State Why here?
104Middle Tennessee Why here?
105Akron Why here?
106Georgia Southern Why here?
107Florida Atlantic Why here?
108Tulane Why here?
109UTEP Why here?
110Marshall Why here?
111East Carolina Why here?
112Fresno State Why here?
113Kent State Why here?
114Missouri State Why here?
115Oregon State Why here?
116Wyoming Why here?
117San José State Why here?
118Utah State Why here?
119Ball State Why here?
120Ohio Why here?
121Florida International Why here?
122Rutgers Why here?
123UAB Why here?
124Sacramento State Why here?
125New Mexico State Why here?
126Nevada Why here?
127Buffalo Why here?
128Texas State Why here?
129Charlotte Why here?
130Northern Illinois Why here?
131North Texas Why here?
132UNLV Why here?
133Hawai'i Why here?
134Stanford Why here?
135Western Kentucky Why here?
136UL Monroe Why here?
137Bowling Green Why here?
138Eastern Michigan Why here?