PUBLIC RANKINGS

My CFB Baseline · 2026 through Week 3 · revision 3

2026 season · through week 3

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Calculated Sep 21, 2026 · 10:08 AM CDT.

My CFB Example rankings using persisted real data and the same point-in-time rules documented in the methodology.

Model configuration used
Configuration
Revision 3
Engine version
3.8.0-kickoff-chronology
Evidence cutoff
Sep 21, 2026 · 10:07 AM CDT
Factor keyNormalized share
adj_margin0.108108
avoid_bad_losses0.040541
close_game_wins0.027027
defense_ppg0.067568
offense_ppg0.067568
preseason_portal0.040541
preseason_previous_performance0.054054
preseason_recruiting0.067568
preseason_returning0.054054
preseason_talent0.067568
quality_wins0.081081
recent_form0.054054
road_neutral_wins0.040541
sos0.081081
statement_wins0.040541
win_pct0.108108

These values came from this immutable run, not the model’s current settings.

RankTeamExplanation
101Navy Why here?
102Central Michigan Why here?
103Old Dominion Why here?
104Middle Tennessee Why here?
105Arkansas State Why here?
106Georgia Southern Why here?
107Akron Why here?
108Florida Atlantic Why here?
109Fresno State Why here?
110Tulane Why here?
111UTEP Why here?
112Marshall Why here?
113Utah State Why here?
114East Carolina Why here?
115Kent State Why here?
116Missouri State Why here?
117Wyoming Why here?
118Rutgers Why here?
119Ball State Why here?
120Ohio Why here?
121Florida International Why here?
122San José State Why here?
123UAB Why here?
124Charlotte Why here?
125New Mexico State Why here?
126Sacramento State Why here?
127Nevada Why here?
128Northern Illinois Why here?
129Buffalo Why here?
130Texas State Why here?
131North Texas Why here?
132Western Kentucky Why here?
133UNLV Why here?
134Hawai'i Why here?
135UL Monroe Why here?
136Stanford Why here?
137Bowling Green Why here?
138Eastern Michigan Why here?