PUBLIC RANKINGS

My CFB Baseline · 2026 through Week 4 · revision 3

2026 season · through week 4

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Calculated Sep 25, 2026 · 9:32 PM CDT.

My CFB Example rankings using persisted real data and the same point-in-time rules documented in the methodology.

Model configuration used
Configuration
Revision 3
Engine version
3.8.0-kickoff-chronology
Evidence cutoff
Sep 25, 2026 · 9:29 PM CDT
Factor keyNormalized share
adj_margin0.108108
avoid_bad_losses0.040541
close_game_wins0.027027
defense_ppg0.067568
offense_ppg0.067568
preseason_portal0.040541
preseason_previous_performance0.054054
preseason_recruiting0.067568
preseason_returning0.054054
preseason_talent0.067568
quality_wins0.081081
recent_form0.054054
road_neutral_wins0.040541
sos0.081081
statement_wins0.040541
win_pct0.108108

These values came from this immutable run, not the model’s current settings.

RankTeamExplanation
101Temple Why here?
102Central Michigan Why here?
103Old Dominion Why here?
104Arkansas State Why here?
105Middle Tennessee Why here?
106Georgia Southern Why here?
107Akron Why here?
108Fresno State Why here?
109Tulane Why here?
110UTEP Why here?
111Marshall Why here?
112Utah State Why here?
113East Carolina Why here?
114Kent State Why here?
115Missouri State Why here?
116Wyoming Why here?
117Florida Atlantic Why here?
118Navy Why here?
119Ball State Why here?
120UAB Why here?
121Ohio Why here?
122San José State Why here?
123Florida International Why here?
124Charlotte Why here?
125Sacramento State Why here?
126New Mexico State Why here?
127Northern Illinois Why here?
128Nevada Why here?
129Texas State Why here?
130Buffalo Why here?
131Western Kentucky Why here?
132North Texas Why here?
133UL Monroe Why here?
134UNLV Why here?
135Hawai'i Why here?
136Bowling Green Why here?
137Stanford Why here?
138Eastern Michigan Why here?