PUBLIC RANKINGS

My CFB Baseline · 2026 through Week 4 · revision 3

2026 season · through week 4

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Calculated Sep 25, 2026 · 10:49 PM CDT.

My CFB Example rankings using persisted real data and the same point-in-time rules documented in the methodology.

Model configuration used
Configuration
Revision 3
Engine version
3.8.0-kickoff-chronology
Evidence cutoff
Sep 25, 2026 · 10:45 PM CDT
Factor keyNormalized share
adj_margin0.108108
avoid_bad_losses0.040541
close_game_wins0.027027
defense_ppg0.067568
offense_ppg0.067568
preseason_portal0.040541
preseason_previous_performance0.054054
preseason_recruiting0.067568
preseason_returning0.054054
preseason_talent0.067568
quality_wins0.081081
recent_form0.054054
road_neutral_wins0.040541
sos0.081081
statement_wins0.040541
win_pct0.108108

These values came from this immutable run, not the model’s current settings.

RankTeamExplanation
1Tennessee Why here?
2BYU Why here?
3Virginia Tech Why here?
4Missouri Why here?
5Notre Dame Why here?
6UCLA Why here?
7Texas Tech Why here?
8Mississippi State Why here?
9Tulsa Why here?
10Pittsburgh Why here?
11Florida Why here?
12West Virginia Why here?
13Ole Miss Why here?
14Maryland Why here?
15James Madison Why here?
16Alabama Why here?
17Iowa Why here?
18North Dakota State Why here?
19Michigan Why here?
20Utah Why here?
21UCF Why here?
22Vanderbilt Why here?
23Virginia Why here?
24Cincinnati Why here?
25Georgia Why here?
26Auburn Why here?
27Miami Why here?
28Kansas State Why here?
29Houston Why here?
30Oregon Why here?
31Massachusetts Why here?
32Texas A&M Why here?
33Texas Why here?
34California Why here?
35LSU Why here?
36South Carolina Why here?
37Baylor Why here?
38Georgia State Why here?
39South Florida Why here?
40Oklahoma State Why here?
41Penn State Why here?
42USC Why here?
43Indiana Why here?
44Louisville Why here?
45Kentucky Why here?
46Nebraska Why here?
47Oklahoma Why here?
48Washington Why here?
49Arizona State Why here?
50Northwestern Why here?