PUBLIC RANKINGS

My CFB Baseline · 2026 through Week 4 · revision 3

2026 season · through week 4

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Calculated Sep 26, 2026 · 1:29 PM CDT.

My CFB Example rankings using persisted real data and the same point-in-time rules documented in the methodology.

Model configuration used
Configuration
Revision 3
Engine version
3.8.0-kickoff-chronology
Evidence cutoff
Sep 26, 2026 · 1:27 PM CDT
Factor keyNormalized share
adj_margin0.108108
avoid_bad_losses0.040541
close_game_wins0.027027
defense_ppg0.067568
offense_ppg0.067568
preseason_portal0.040541
preseason_previous_performance0.054054
preseason_recruiting0.067568
preseason_returning0.054054
preseason_talent0.067568
quality_wins0.081081
recent_form0.054054
road_neutral_wins0.040541
sos0.081081
statement_wins0.040541
win_pct0.108108

These values came from this immutable run, not the model’s current settings.

RankTeamExplanation
1Tennessee Why here?
2BYU Why here?
3Virginia Tech Why here?
4Missouri Why here?
5Notre Dame Why here?
6Texas Tech Why here?
7Mississippi State Why here?
8Tulsa Why here?
9Ole Miss Why here?
10Florida Why here?
11West Virginia Why here?
12Pittsburgh Why here?
13Maryland Why here?
14Alabama Why here?
15James Madison Why here?
16UCLA Why here?
17Iowa Why here?
18North Dakota State Why here?
19Michigan Why here?
20Utah Why here?
21UCF Why here?
22Vanderbilt Why here?
23Virginia Why here?
24Cincinnati Why here?
25Auburn Why here?
26Georgia Why here?
27Kansas State Why here?
28Houston Why here?
29Oregon Why here?
30Miami Why here?
31LSU Why here?
32Massachusetts Why here?
33Texas A&M Why here?
34Texas Why here?
35Baylor Why here?
36South Carolina Why here?
37Georgia State Why here?
38South Florida Why here?
39Oklahoma State Why here?
40Penn State Why here?
41USC Why here?
42Louisville Why here?
43Indiana Why here?
44Kentucky Why here?
45Oklahoma Why here?
46Nebraska Why here?
47Washington Why here?
48North Carolina Why here?
49Arizona State Why here?
50Northwestern Why here?