PUBLIC RANKINGS

My CFB Baseline · 2026 through Week 4 · revision 3

2026 season · through week 4

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Calculated Sep 26, 2026 · 2:03 PM CDT.

My CFB Example rankings using persisted real data and the same point-in-time rules documented in the methodology.

Model configuration used
Configuration
Revision 3
Engine version
3.8.0-kickoff-chronology
Evidence cutoff
Sep 26, 2026 · 2:00 PM CDT
Factor keyNormalized share
adj_margin0.108108
avoid_bad_losses0.040541
close_game_wins0.027027
defense_ppg0.067568
offense_ppg0.067568
preseason_portal0.040541
preseason_previous_performance0.054054
preseason_recruiting0.067568
preseason_returning0.054054
preseason_talent0.067568
quality_wins0.081081
recent_form0.054054
road_neutral_wins0.040541
sos0.081081
statement_wins0.040541
win_pct0.108108

These values came from this immutable run, not the model’s current settings.

RankTeamExplanation
51Clemson Why here?
52TCU Why here?
53Minnesota Why here?
54Liberty Why here?
55Western Michigan Why here?
56SMU Why here?
57UConn Why here?
58Ohio State Why here?
59Troy Why here?
60Arizona Why here?
61Delaware Why here?
62Army Why here?
63New Mexico Why here?
64California Why here?
65Iowa State Why here?
66Colorado Why here?
67Air Force Why here?
68NC State Why here?
69Boise State Why here?
70Sam Houston Why here?
71Duke Why here?
72Toledo Why here?
73Colorado State Why here?
74Syracuse Why here?
75Wisconsin Why here?
76San Diego State Why here?
77Kansas Why here?
78Oregon State Why here?
79Wake Forest Why here?
80App State Why here?
81Georgia Tech Why here?
82Illinois Why here?
83Boston College Why here?
84Louisiana Tech Why here?
85Michigan State Why here?
86Purdue Why here?
87Washington State Why here?
88Miami (OH) Why here?
89Kennesaw State Why here?
90Rutgers Why here?
91Coastal Carolina Why here?
92Louisiana Why here?
93Southern Miss Why here?
94Memphis Why here?
95Jacksonville State Why here?
96Arkansas Why here?
97UTSA Why here?
98Florida State Why here?
99South Alabama Why here?
100Rice Why here?