PUBLIC RANKINGS

My CFB Baseline · 2026 through Week 4 · revision 3

2026 season · through week 4

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Calculated Sep 26, 2026 · 2:18 PM CDT.

My CFB Example rankings using persisted real data and the same point-in-time rules documented in the methodology.

Model configuration used
Configuration
Revision 3
Engine version
3.8.0-kickoff-chronology
Evidence cutoff
Sep 26, 2026 · 2:14 PM CDT
Factor keyNormalized share
adj_margin0.108108
avoid_bad_losses0.040541
close_game_wins0.027027
defense_ppg0.067568
offense_ppg0.067568
preseason_portal0.040541
preseason_previous_performance0.054054
preseason_recruiting0.067568
preseason_returning0.054054
preseason_talent0.067568
quality_wins0.081081
recent_form0.054054
road_neutral_wins0.040541
sos0.081081
statement_wins0.040541
win_pct0.108108

These values came from this immutable run, not the model’s current settings.

RankTeamExplanation
1Tennessee Why here?
2BYU Why here?
3Virginia Tech Why here?
4Missouri Why here?
5Notre Dame Why here?
6Texas Tech Why here?
7Tulsa Why here?
8Ole Miss Why here?
9West Virginia Why here?
10Florida Why here?
11Pittsburgh Why here?
12Mississippi State Why here?
13Maryland Why here?
14Alabama Why here?
15James Madison Why here?
16Iowa Why here?
17UCLA Why here?
18North Dakota State Why here?
19Michigan Why here?
20Utah Why here?
21UCF Why here?
22Vanderbilt Why here?
23Virginia Why here?
24Georgia Why here?
25Oregon Why here?
26Auburn Why here?
27Cincinnati Why here?
28Kansas State Why here?
29Houston Why here?
30LSU Why here?
31Massachusetts Why here?
32Texas Why here?
33Texas A&M Why here?
34Baylor Why here?
35Miami Why here?
36Oklahoma State Why here?
37Georgia State Why here?
38South Florida Why here?
39Indiana Why here?
40South Carolina Why here?
41Penn State Why here?
42USC Why here?
43Louisville Why here?
44Kentucky Why here?
45Nebraska Why here?
46Oklahoma Why here?
47Washington Why here?
48North Carolina Why here?
49Northwestern Why here?
50Arizona State Why here?