PUBLIC RANKINGS

My CFB Baseline · 2026 through Week 4 · revision 3

2026 season · through week 4

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Calculated Sep 26, 2026 · 2:29 PM CDT.

My CFB Example rankings using persisted real data and the same point-in-time rules documented in the methodology.

Model configuration used
Configuration
Revision 3
Engine version
3.8.0-kickoff-chronology
Evidence cutoff
Sep 26, 2026 · 2:25 PM CDT
Factor keyNormalized share
adj_margin0.108108
avoid_bad_losses0.040541
close_game_wins0.027027
defense_ppg0.067568
offense_ppg0.067568
preseason_portal0.040541
preseason_previous_performance0.054054
preseason_recruiting0.067568
preseason_returning0.054054
preseason_talent0.067568
quality_wins0.081081
recent_form0.054054
road_neutral_wins0.040541
sos0.081081
statement_wins0.040541
win_pct0.108108

These values came from this immutable run, not the model’s current settings.

RankTeamExplanation
1Tennessee Why here?
2BYU Why here?
3Virginia Tech Why here?
4Notre Dame Why here?
5Missouri Why here?
6Texas Tech Why here?
7Tulsa Why here?
8Ole Miss Why here?
9Florida Why here?
10West Virginia Why here?
11Pittsburgh Why here?
12Maryland Why here?
13Mississippi State Why here?
14Alabama Why here?
15Iowa Why here?
16North Dakota State Why here?
17Michigan Why here?
18Utah Why here?
19UCF Why here?
20Vanderbilt Why here?
21Virginia Why here?
22Georgia Why here?
23Auburn Why here?
24Oregon Why here?
25Cincinnati Why here?
26Kansas State Why here?
27Houston Why here?
28James Madison Why here?
29UCLA Why here?
30LSU Why here?
31Massachusetts Why here?
32Texas A&M Why here?
33Texas Why here?
34Baylor Why here?
35Penn State Why here?
36Oklahoma State Why here?
37South Florida Why here?
38Georgia State Why here?
39Miami Why here?
40Indiana Why here?
41South Carolina Why here?
42USC Why here?
43Louisville Why here?
44Kentucky Why here?
45Nebraska Why here?
46Oklahoma Why here?
47Washington Why here?
48North Carolina Why here?
49Arizona State Why here?
50Northwestern Why here?