PUBLIC RANKINGS

My CFB Baseline · 2026 through Week 4 · revision 3

2026 season · through week 4

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Calculated Sep 26, 2026 · 2:29 PM CDT.

My CFB Example rankings using persisted real data and the same point-in-time rules documented in the methodology.

Model configuration used
Configuration
Revision 3
Engine version
3.8.0-kickoff-chronology
Evidence cutoff
Sep 26, 2026 · 2:25 PM CDT
Factor keyNormalized share
adj_margin0.108108
avoid_bad_losses0.040541
close_game_wins0.027027
defense_ppg0.067568
offense_ppg0.067568
preseason_portal0.040541
preseason_previous_performance0.054054
preseason_recruiting0.067568
preseason_returning0.054054
preseason_talent0.067568
quality_wins0.081081
recent_form0.054054
road_neutral_wins0.040541
sos0.081081
statement_wins0.040541
win_pct0.108108

These values came from this immutable run, not the model’s current settings.

RankTeamExplanation
51TCU Why here?
52Western Michigan Why here?
53Clemson Why here?
54SMU Why here?
55Toledo Why here?
56UConn Why here?
57Troy Why here?
58Arizona Why here?
59Liberty Why here?
60Ohio State Why here?
61Army Why here?
62Delaware Why here?
63New Mexico Why here?
64Iowa State Why here?
65Boise State Why here?
66Colorado Why here?
67California Why here?
68Minnesota Why here?
69Air Force Why here?
70NC State Why here?
71Duke Why here?
72Sam Houston Why here?
73Colorado State Why here?
74Wisconsin Why here?
75Syracuse Why here?
76Kansas Why here?
77Oregon State Why here?
78Georgia Tech Why here?
79App State Why here?
80Illinois Why here?
81Boston College Why here?
82Michigan State Why here?
83Louisiana Tech Why here?
84Memphis Why here?
85Washington State Why here?
86Miami (OH) Why here?
87Kennesaw State Why here?
88Rutgers Why here?
89Louisiana Why here?
90Wake Forest Why here?
91Southern Miss Why here?
92Coastal Carolina Why here?
93Purdue Why here?
94Arkansas Why here?
95Jacksonville State Why here?
96UTSA Why here?
97Florida State Why here?
98San Diego State Why here?
99Rice Why here?
100South Alabama Why here?