PUBLIC RANKINGS

My CFB Baseline · 2026 through Week 4 · revision 3

2026 season · through week 4

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Calculated Sep 26, 2026 · 2:38 PM CDT.

My CFB Example rankings using persisted real data and the same point-in-time rules documented in the methodology.

Model configuration used
Configuration
Revision 3
Engine version
3.8.0-kickoff-chronology
Evidence cutoff
Sep 26, 2026 · 2:36 PM CDT
Factor keyNormalized share
adj_margin0.108108
avoid_bad_losses0.040541
close_game_wins0.027027
defense_ppg0.067568
offense_ppg0.067568
preseason_portal0.040541
preseason_previous_performance0.054054
preseason_recruiting0.067568
preseason_returning0.054054
preseason_talent0.067568
quality_wins0.081081
recent_form0.054054
road_neutral_wins0.040541
sos0.081081
statement_wins0.040541
win_pct0.108108

These values came from this immutable run, not the model’s current settings.

RankTeamExplanation
1Tennessee Why here?
2Texas Tech Why here?
3BYU Why here?
4Notre Dame Why here?
5Pittsburgh Why here?
6Missouri Why here?
7Ole Miss Why here?
8Virginia Tech Why here?
9Florida Why here?
10West Virginia Why here?
11Mississippi State Why here?
12Tulsa Why here?
13Alabama Why here?
14Maryland Why here?
15Iowa Why here?
16North Dakota State Why here?
17Michigan Why here?
18Utah Why here?
19UCF Why here?
20Houston Why here?
21Vanderbilt Why here?
22Cincinnati Why here?
23Virginia Why here?
24Georgia Why here?
25Auburn Why here?
26Oregon Why here?
27Kansas State Why here?
28UCLA Why here?
29James Madison Why here?
30LSU Why here?
31Massachusetts Why here?
32Texas A&M Why here?
33Texas Why here?
34Baylor Why here?
35Georgia State Why here?
36Penn State Why here?
37South Florida Why here?
38Miami Why here?
39Indiana Why here?
40South Carolina Why here?
41USC Why here?
42Oklahoma State Why here?
43Louisville Why here?
44Kentucky Why here?
45Oklahoma Why here?
46Nebraska Why here?
47Washington Why here?
48North Carolina Why here?
49Northwestern Why here?
50Arizona State Why here?