PUBLIC RANKINGS

My CFB Baseline · 2026 through Week 4 · revision 3

2026 season · through week 4

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Calculated Sep 26, 2026 · 2:50 PM CDT.

My CFB Example rankings using persisted real data and the same point-in-time rules documented in the methodology.

Model configuration used
Configuration
Revision 3
Engine version
3.8.0-kickoff-chronology
Evidence cutoff
Sep 26, 2026 · 2:47 PM CDT
Factor keyNormalized share
adj_margin0.108108
avoid_bad_losses0.040541
close_game_wins0.027027
defense_ppg0.067568
offense_ppg0.067568
preseason_portal0.040541
preseason_previous_performance0.054054
preseason_recruiting0.067568
preseason_returning0.054054
preseason_talent0.067568
quality_wins0.081081
recent_form0.054054
road_neutral_wins0.040541
sos0.081081
statement_wins0.040541
win_pct0.108108

These values came from this immutable run, not the model’s current settings.

RankTeamExplanation
1Tennessee Why here?
2Texas Tech Why here?
3Notre Dame Why here?
4Pittsburgh Why here?
5Missouri Why here?
6Florida Why here?
7Virginia Tech Why here?
8West Virginia Why here?
9BYU Why here?
10Mississippi State Why here?
11Maryland Why here?
12Tulsa Why here?
13Alabama Why here?
14Ole Miss Why here?
15North Dakota State Why here?
16Iowa Why here?
17Michigan Why here?
18UCF Why here?
19Utah Why here?
20Houston Why here?
21Cincinnati Why here?
22Vanderbilt Why here?
23Texas Why here?
24Virginia Why here?
25UCLA Why here?
26Auburn Why here?
27Georgia Why here?
28Oregon Why here?
29James Madison Why here?
30Kansas State Why here?
31Massachusetts Why here?
32LSU Why here?
33Texas A&M Why here?
34Miami Why here?
35Georgia State Why here?
36Baylor Why here?
37Penn State Why here?
38South Florida Why here?
39Indiana Why here?
40South Carolina Why here?
41Oklahoma State Why here?
42USC Why here?
43Kentucky Why here?
44Oklahoma Why here?
45Washington Why here?
46Nebraska Why here?
47North Carolina Why here?
48Northwestern Why here?
49Arizona State Why here?
50TCU Why here?