PUBLIC RANKINGS

My CFB Baseline · 2026 through Week 4 · revision 3

2026 season · through week 4

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Calculated Sep 26, 2026 · 2:50 PM CDT.

My CFB Example rankings using persisted real data and the same point-in-time rules documented in the methodology.

Model configuration used
Configuration
Revision 3
Engine version
3.8.0-kickoff-chronology
Evidence cutoff
Sep 26, 2026 · 2:47 PM CDT
Factor keyNormalized share
adj_margin0.108108
avoid_bad_losses0.040541
close_game_wins0.027027
defense_ppg0.067568
offense_ppg0.067568
preseason_portal0.040541
preseason_previous_performance0.054054
preseason_recruiting0.067568
preseason_returning0.054054
preseason_talent0.067568
quality_wins0.081081
recent_form0.054054
road_neutral_wins0.040541
sos0.081081
statement_wins0.040541
win_pct0.108108

These values came from this immutable run, not the model’s current settings.

RankTeamExplanation
101South Alabama Why here?
102Arkansas State Why here?
103Georgia Southern Why here?
104Central Michigan Why here?
105Middle Tennessee Why here?
106Fresno State Why here?
107Old Dominion Why here?
108UTEP Why here?
109Marshall Why here?
110Tulane Why here?
111Kent State Why here?
112Utah State Why here?
113Missouri State Why here?
114Florida Atlantic Why here?
115East Carolina Why here?
116Navy Why here?
117Ohio Why here?
118Wyoming Why here?
119San José State Why here?
120UAB Why here?
121Florida International Why here?
122Texas State Why here?
123Sacramento State Why here?
124New Mexico State Why here?
125UNLV Why here?
126Ball State Why here?
127Charlotte Why here?
128Northern Illinois Why here?
129Nevada Why here?
130North Texas Why here?
131Buffalo Why here?
132Akron Why here?
133Western Kentucky Why here?
134Hawai'i Why here?
135Bowling Green Why here?
136UL Monroe Why here?
137Stanford Why here?
138Eastern Michigan Why here?