PUBLIC RANKINGS

My CFB Baseline · 2026 through Week 4 · revision 3

2026 season · through week 4

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Calculated Sep 26, 2026 · 3:12 PM CDT.

My CFB Example rankings using persisted real data and the same point-in-time rules documented in the methodology.

Model configuration used
Configuration
Revision 3
Engine version
3.8.0-kickoff-chronology
Evidence cutoff
Sep 26, 2026 · 3:09 PM CDT
Factor keyNormalized share
adj_margin0.108108
avoid_bad_losses0.040541
close_game_wins0.027027
defense_ppg0.067568
offense_ppg0.067568
preseason_portal0.040541
preseason_previous_performance0.054054
preseason_recruiting0.067568
preseason_returning0.054054
preseason_talent0.067568
quality_wins0.081081
recent_form0.054054
road_neutral_wins0.040541
sos0.081081
statement_wins0.040541
win_pct0.108108

These values came from this immutable run, not the model’s current settings.

RankTeamExplanation
51Western Michigan Why here?
52Ohio State Why here?
53Clemson Why here?
54Toledo Why here?
55Liberty Why here?
56UConn Why here?
57Army Why here?
58Arizona Why here?
59SMU Why here?
60Delaware Why here?
61New Mexico Why here?
62California Why here?
63Boise State Why here?
64Iowa State Why here?
65Minnesota Why here?
66Air Force Why here?
67Louisville Why here?
68Troy Why here?
69NC State Why here?
70Syracuse Why here?
71Oregon State Why here?
72Wake Forest Why here?
73Wisconsin Why here?
74Kansas Why here?
75Colorado Why here?
76Duke Why here?
77UTSA Why here?
78App State Why here?
79Boston College Why here?
80Michigan State Why here?
81Georgia Tech Why here?
82Memphis Why here?
83Miami (OH) Why here?
84Washington State Why here?
85Louisiana Tech Why here?
86Rutgers Why here?
87Coastal Carolina Why here?
88Purdue Why here?
89Kennesaw State Why here?
90Sam Houston Why here?
91Louisiana Why here?
92Colorado State Why here?
93Southern Miss Why here?
94Arkansas Why here?
95Jacksonville State Why here?
96Illinois Why here?
97San Diego State Why here?
98Temple Why here?
99Rice Why here?
100Florida State Why here?