PUBLIC RANKINGS

My CFB Baseline · 2026 through Week 4 · revision 3

2026 season · through week 4

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Calculated Sep 26, 2026 · 3:12 PM CDT.

My CFB Example rankings using persisted real data and the same point-in-time rules documented in the methodology.

Model configuration used
Configuration
Revision 3
Engine version
3.8.0-kickoff-chronology
Evidence cutoff
Sep 26, 2026 · 3:09 PM CDT
Factor keyNormalized share
adj_margin0.108108
avoid_bad_losses0.040541
close_game_wins0.027027
defense_ppg0.067568
offense_ppg0.067568
preseason_portal0.040541
preseason_previous_performance0.054054
preseason_recruiting0.067568
preseason_returning0.054054
preseason_talent0.067568
quality_wins0.081081
recent_form0.054054
road_neutral_wins0.040541
sos0.081081
statement_wins0.040541
win_pct0.108108

These values came from this immutable run, not the model’s current settings.

RankTeamExplanation
101Arkansas State Why here?
102Georgia Southern Why here?
103Central Michigan Why here?
104Middle Tennessee Why here?
105Fresno State Why here?
106Old Dominion Why here?
107UTEP Why here?
108Marshall Why here?
109Kent State Why here?
110South Alabama Why here?
111Utah State Why here?
112Tulane Why here?
113Missouri State Why here?
114East Carolina Why here?
115Florida Atlantic Why here?
116Navy Why here?
117Wyoming Why here?
118San José State Why here?
119UAB Why here?
120Ohio Why here?
121Texas State Why here?
122Florida International Why here?
123Sacramento State Why here?
124New Mexico State Why here?
125Ball State Why here?
126UNLV Why here?
127Charlotte Why here?
128Northern Illinois Why here?
129Nevada Why here?
130North Texas Why here?
131Akron Why here?
132Buffalo Why here?
133Western Kentucky Why here?
134Hawai'i Why here?
135Bowling Green Why here?
136UL Monroe Why here?
137Stanford Why here?
138Eastern Michigan Why here?