PUBLIC RANKINGS

My CFB Baseline · 2026 through Week 4 · revision 3

2026 season · through week 4

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Calculated Sep 26, 2026 · 3:44 PM CDT.

My CFB Example rankings using persisted real data and the same point-in-time rules documented in the methodology.

Model configuration used
Configuration
Revision 3
Engine version
3.8.0-kickoff-chronology
Evidence cutoff
Sep 26, 2026 · 3:42 PM CDT
Factor keyNormalized share
adj_margin0.108108
avoid_bad_losses0.040541
close_game_wins0.027027
defense_ppg0.067568
offense_ppg0.067568
preseason_portal0.040541
preseason_previous_performance0.054054
preseason_recruiting0.067568
preseason_returning0.054054
preseason_talent0.067568
quality_wins0.081081
recent_form0.054054
road_neutral_wins0.040541
sos0.081081
statement_wins0.040541
win_pct0.108108

These values came from this immutable run, not the model’s current settings.

RankTeamExplanation
1Notre Dame Why here?
2Texas Tech Why here?
3Pittsburgh Why here?
4Missouri Why here?
5West Virginia Why here?
6Virginia Tech Why here?
7BYU Why here?
8Texas Why here?
9Florida Why here?
10Mississippi State Why here?
11Tulsa Why here?
12Maryland Why here?
13Tennessee Why here?
14North Dakota State Why here?
15Alabama Why here?
16Ole Miss Why here?
17Iowa Why here?
18Michigan Why here?
19Utah Why here?
20Houston Why here?
21Vanderbilt Why here?
22Cincinnati Why here?
23UCF Why here?
24Virginia Why here?
25UCLA Why here?
26James Madison Why here?
27Oregon Why here?
28Massachusetts Why here?
29Georgia Why here?
30Kansas State Why here?
31USC Why here?
32Texas A&M Why here?
33Auburn Why here?
34Miami Why here?
35LSU Why here?
36Penn State Why here?
37South Florida Why here?
38South Carolina Why here?
39Indiana Why here?
40Baylor Why here?
41Oklahoma State Why here?
42Georgia State Why here?
43Oklahoma Why here?
44Washington Why here?
45Kentucky Why here?
46North Carolina Why here?
47Western Michigan Why here?
48Nebraska Why here?
49Toledo Why here?
50TCU Why here?