PUBLIC RANKINGS

My CFB Baseline · 2026 through Week 4 · revision 3

2026 season · through week 4

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Calculated Sep 26, 2026 · 4:08 PM CDT.

My CFB Example rankings using persisted real data and the same point-in-time rules documented in the methodology.

Model configuration used
Configuration
Revision 3
Engine version
3.8.0-kickoff-chronology
Evidence cutoff
Sep 26, 2026 · 4:04 PM CDT
Factor keyNormalized share
adj_margin0.108108
avoid_bad_losses0.040541
close_game_wins0.027027
defense_ppg0.067568
offense_ppg0.067568
preseason_portal0.040541
preseason_previous_performance0.054054
preseason_recruiting0.067568
preseason_returning0.054054
preseason_talent0.067568
quality_wins0.081081
recent_form0.054054
road_neutral_wins0.040541
sos0.081081
statement_wins0.040541
win_pct0.108108

These values came from this immutable run, not the model’s current settings.

RankTeamExplanation
1Notre Dame Why here?
2Texas Tech Why here?
3UCLA Why here?
4Pittsburgh Why here?
5Missouri Why here?
6West Virginia Why here?
7BYU Why here?
8Texas Why here?
9Mississippi State Why here?
10Florida Why here?
11Tulsa Why here?
12Tennessee Why here?
13North Dakota State Why here?
14Virginia Tech Why here?
15Alabama Why here?
16Ole Miss Why here?
17Iowa Why here?
18Michigan Why here?
19Utah Why here?
20Vanderbilt Why here?
21Houston Why here?
22James Madison Why here?
23UCF Why here?
24Cincinnati Why here?
25Virginia Why here?
26Oregon Why here?
27Georgia Why here?
28Massachusetts Why here?
29Kansas State Why here?
30USC Why here?
31Miami Why here?
32Texas A&M Why here?
33LSU Why here?
34Penn State Why here?
35Auburn Why here?
36South Florida Why here?
37South Carolina Why here?
38Indiana Why here?
39Baylor Why here?
40Oklahoma State Why here?
41Georgia State Why here?
42Toledo Why here?
43Oklahoma Why here?
44North Carolina Why here?
45Washington Why here?
46Western Michigan Why here?
47Nebraska Why here?
48Kentucky Why here?
49TCU Why here?
50Clemson Why here?