PUBLIC RANKINGS

My CFB Baseline · 2026 through Week 4 · revision 3

2026 season · through week 4

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Calculated Sep 26, 2026 · 5:33 PM CDT.

My CFB Example rankings using persisted real data and the same point-in-time rules documented in the methodology.

Model configuration used
Configuration
Revision 3
Engine version
3.8.0-kickoff-chronology
Evidence cutoff
Sep 26, 2026 · 5:23 PM CDT
Factor keyNormalized share
adj_margin0.108108
avoid_bad_losses0.040541
close_game_wins0.027027
defense_ppg0.067568
offense_ppg0.067568
preseason_portal0.040541
preseason_previous_performance0.054054
preseason_recruiting0.067568
preseason_returning0.054054
preseason_talent0.067568
quality_wins0.081081
recent_form0.054054
road_neutral_wins0.040541
sos0.081081
statement_wins0.040541
win_pct0.108108

These values came from this immutable run, not the model’s current settings.

RankTeamExplanation
1Notre Dame Why here?
2Texas Tech Why here?
3UCLA Why here?
4Pittsburgh Why here?
5Missouri Why here?
6West Virginia Why here?
7Alabama Why here?
8BYU Why here?
9Texas Why here?
10Mississippi State Why here?
11Florida Why here?
12Tulsa Why here?
13North Dakota State Why here?
14Virginia Tech Why here?
15Ole Miss Why here?
16Tennessee Why here?
17Iowa Why here?
18Michigan Why here?
19Vanderbilt Why here?
20Houston Why here?
21Utah Why here?
22James Madison Why here?
23Cincinnati Why here?
24Virginia Why here?
25UCF Why here?
26Oregon Why here?
27Georgia Why here?
28Massachusetts Why here?
29Kansas State Why here?
30Texas A&M Why here?
31USC Why here?
32LSU Why here?
33Miami Why here?
34Penn State Why here?
35Auburn Why here?
36South Carolina Why here?
37South Florida Why here?
38Indiana Why here?
39Oklahoma State Why here?
40Baylor Why here?
41Kentucky Why here?
42Oklahoma Why here?
43Toledo Why here?
44SMU Why here?
45North Carolina Why here?
46Washington Why here?
47Nebraska Why here?
48Western Michigan Why here?
49TCU Why here?
50Arizona State Why here?