PUBLIC RANKINGS

My CFB Baseline · 2026 through Week 4 · revision 3

2026 season · through week 4

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Calculated Sep 26, 2026 · 5:52 PM CDT.

My CFB Example rankings using persisted real data and the same point-in-time rules documented in the methodology.

Model configuration used
Configuration
Revision 3
Engine version
3.8.0-kickoff-chronology
Evidence cutoff
Sep 26, 2026 · 5:48 PM CDT
Factor keyNormalized share
adj_margin0.108108
avoid_bad_losses0.040541
close_game_wins0.027027
defense_ppg0.067568
offense_ppg0.067568
preseason_portal0.040541
preseason_previous_performance0.054054
preseason_recruiting0.067568
preseason_returning0.054054
preseason_talent0.067568
quality_wins0.081081
recent_form0.054054
road_neutral_wins0.040541
sos0.081081
statement_wins0.040541
win_pct0.108108

These values came from this immutable run, not the model’s current settings.

RankTeamExplanation
1Notre Dame Why here?
2Texas Tech Why here?
3Pittsburgh Why here?
4UCLA Why here?
5Missouri Why here?
6Alabama Why here?
7West Virginia Why here?
8Texas Why here?
9BYU Why here?
10Mississippi State Why here?
11North Dakota State Why here?
12Florida Why here?
13Tulsa Why here?
14Tennessee Why here?
15Ole Miss Why here?
16Virginia Tech Why here?
17Iowa Why here?
18Michigan Why here?
19Vanderbilt Why here?
20Houston Why here?
21Utah Why here?
22James Madison Why here?
23Kansas State Why here?
24Virginia Why here?
25UCF Why here?
26Cincinnati Why here?
27Oregon Why here?
28Georgia Why here?
29Massachusetts Why here?
30Nebraska Why here?
31Texas A&M Why here?
32Miami Why here?
33LSU Why here?
34USC Why here?
35Kentucky Why here?
36South Carolina Why here?
37Penn State Why here?
38South Florida Why here?
39Oklahoma State Why here?
40Indiana Why here?
41Auburn Why here?
42Baylor Why here?
43Duke Why here?
44Washington Why here?
45Oklahoma Why here?
46North Carolina Why here?
47Toledo Why here?
48SMU Why here?
49Ohio State Why here?
50Arizona State Why here?