PUBLIC RANKINGS

My CFB Baseline · 2026 through Week 4 · revision 3

2026 season · through week 4

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Calculated Sep 26, 2026 · 6:01 PM CDT.

My CFB Example rankings using persisted real data and the same point-in-time rules documented in the methodology.

Model configuration used
Configuration
Revision 3
Engine version
3.8.0-kickoff-chronology
Evidence cutoff
Sep 26, 2026 · 5:59 PM CDT
Factor keyNormalized share
adj_margin0.108108
avoid_bad_losses0.040541
close_game_wins0.027027
defense_ppg0.067568
offense_ppg0.067568
preseason_portal0.040541
preseason_previous_performance0.054054
preseason_recruiting0.067568
preseason_returning0.054054
preseason_talent0.067568
quality_wins0.081081
recent_form0.054054
road_neutral_wins0.040541
sos0.081081
statement_wins0.040541
win_pct0.108108

These values came from this immutable run, not the model’s current settings.

RankTeamExplanation
1Notre Dame Why here?
2Texas Tech Why here?
3UCLA Why here?
4Pittsburgh Why here?
5Missouri Why here?
6West Virginia Why here?
7Alabama Why here?
8Texas Why here?
9BYU Why here?
10Mississippi State Why here?
11North Dakota State Why here?
12Florida Why here?
13Tulsa Why here?
14Tennessee Why here?
15Ole Miss Why here?
16Virginia Tech Why here?
17Iowa Why here?
18UCF Why here?
19Vanderbilt Why here?
20Houston Why here?
21Utah Why here?
22Oregon Why here?
23James Madison Why here?
24Kansas State Why here?
25Virginia Why here?
26Cincinnati Why here?
27Georgia Why here?
28Massachusetts Why here?
29Texas A&M Why here?
30Nebraska Why here?
31Miami Why here?
32USC Why here?
33LSU Why here?
34Kentucky Why here?
35South Carolina Why here?
36Penn State Why here?
37Oklahoma State Why here?
38South Florida Why here?
39Michigan Why here?
40Boise State Why here?
41Auburn Why here?
42Indiana Why here?
43Baylor Why here?
44Duke Why here?
45Washington Why here?
46Toledo Why here?
47Ohio State Why here?
48SMU Why here?
49Arizona State Why here?
50Clemson Why here?