PUBLIC RANKINGS

My CFB Baseline · 2026 through Week 4 · revision 3

2026 season · through week 4

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Calculated Sep 26, 2026 · 6:01 PM CDT.

My CFB Example rankings using persisted real data and the same point-in-time rules documented in the methodology.

Model configuration used
Configuration
Revision 3
Engine version
3.8.0-kickoff-chronology
Evidence cutoff
Sep 26, 2026 · 5:59 PM CDT
Factor keyNormalized share
adj_margin0.108108
avoid_bad_losses0.040541
close_game_wins0.027027
defense_ppg0.067568
offense_ppg0.067568
preseason_portal0.040541
preseason_previous_performance0.054054
preseason_recruiting0.067568
preseason_returning0.054054
preseason_talent0.067568
quality_wins0.081081
recent_form0.054054
road_neutral_wins0.040541
sos0.081081
statement_wins0.040541
win_pct0.108108

These values came from this immutable run, not the model’s current settings.

RankTeamExplanation
51Northwestern Why here?
52North Carolina Why here?
53TCU Why here?
54Liberty Why here?
55Oklahoma Why here?
56Georgia State Why here?
57Army Why here?
58California Why here?
59Arizona Why here?
60Wisconsin Why here?
61Delaware Why here?
62Air Force Why here?
63Iowa State Why here?
64Maryland Why here?
65Louisville Why here?
66Minnesota Why here?
67Troy Why here?
68NC State Why here?
69Syracuse Why here?
70Michigan State Why here?
71New Mexico Why here?
72Oregon State Why here?
73Miami (OH) Why here?
74Wake Forest Why here?
75Kansas Why here?
76Colorado Why here?
77Western Michigan Why here?
78Florida State Why here?
79App State Why here?
80UTSA Why here?
81Georgia Tech Why here?
82Boston College Why here?
83Memphis Why here?
84Washington State Why here?
85Jacksonville State Why here?
86UConn Why here?
87Louisiana Tech Why here?
88Rutgers Why here?
89Illinois Why here?
90Coastal Carolina Why here?
91Louisiana Why here?
92Sam Houston Why here?
93San Diego State Why here?
94Ohio Why here?
95Kennesaw State Why here?
96Arkansas Why here?
97Colorado State Why here?
98Temple Why here?
99Purdue Why here?
100Southern Miss Why here?