PUBLIC RANKINGS

My CFB Baseline · 2026 through Week 4 · revision 3

2026 season · through week 4

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Calculated Sep 26, 2026 · 6:15 PM CDT.

My CFB Example rankings using persisted real data and the same point-in-time rules documented in the methodology.

Model configuration used
Configuration
Revision 3
Engine version
3.8.0-kickoff-chronology
Evidence cutoff
Sep 26, 2026 · 6:10 PM CDT
Factor keyNormalized share
adj_margin0.108108
avoid_bad_losses0.040541
close_game_wins0.027027
defense_ppg0.067568
offense_ppg0.067568
preseason_portal0.040541
preseason_previous_performance0.054054
preseason_recruiting0.067568
preseason_returning0.054054
preseason_talent0.067568
quality_wins0.081081
recent_form0.054054
road_neutral_wins0.040541
sos0.081081
statement_wins0.040541
win_pct0.108108

These values came from this immutable run, not the model’s current settings.

RankTeamExplanation
101Georgia Southern Why here?
102Fresno State Why here?
103Arkansas State Why here?
104Rice Why here?
105South Alabama Why here?
106Tulane Why here?
107Middle Tennessee Why here?
108Marshall Why here?
109Old Dominion Why here?
110Central Michigan Why here?
111Kent State Why here?
112Utah State Why here?
113San José State Why here?
114Missouri State Why here?
115Buffalo Why here?
116Florida Atlantic Why here?
117East Carolina Why here?
118Sacramento State Why here?
119Navy Why here?
120UAB Why here?
121Eastern Michigan Why here?
122Wyoming Why here?
123UTEP Why here?
124Florida International Why here?
125Texas State Why here?
126New Mexico State Why here?
127Ball State Why here?
128UNLV Why here?
129Charlotte Why here?
130Nevada Why here?
131North Texas Why here?
132Western Kentucky Why here?
133Akron Why here?
134Northern Illinois Why here?
135Stanford Why here?
136UL Monroe Why here?
137Bowling Green Why here?
138Hawai'i Why here?