PUBLIC RANKINGS

My CFB Baseline · 2026 through Week 4 · revision 3

2026 season · through week 4

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Calculated Sep 26, 2026 · 6:25 PM CDT.

My CFB Example rankings using persisted real data and the same point-in-time rules documented in the methodology.

Model configuration used
Configuration
Revision 3
Engine version
3.8.0-kickoff-chronology
Evidence cutoff
Sep 26, 2026 · 6:21 PM CDT
Factor keyNormalized share
adj_margin0.108108
avoid_bad_losses0.040541
close_game_wins0.027027
defense_ppg0.067568
offense_ppg0.067568
preseason_portal0.040541
preseason_previous_performance0.054054
preseason_recruiting0.067568
preseason_returning0.054054
preseason_talent0.067568
quality_wins0.081081
recent_form0.054054
road_neutral_wins0.040541
sos0.081081
statement_wins0.040541
win_pct0.108108

These values came from this immutable run, not the model’s current settings.

RankTeamExplanation
1Notre Dame Why here?
2Texas Tech Why here?
3UCLA Why here?
4Pittsburgh Why here?
5Missouri Why here?
6West Virginia Why here?
7Alabama Why here?
8Texas Why here?
9Utah Why here?
10Mississippi State Why here?
11BYU Why here?
12Florida Why here?
13North Dakota State Why here?
14Tulsa Why here?
15Ole Miss Why here?
16Tennessee Why here?
17Virginia Tech Why here?
18UCF Why here?
19Vanderbilt Why here?
20Houston Why here?
21James Madison Why here?
22Oregon Why here?
23Kansas State Why here?
24Iowa Why here?
25Penn State Why here?
26Virginia Why here?
27Georgia Why here?
28Cincinnati Why here?
29Texas A&M Why here?
30Massachusetts Why here?
31Miami Why here?
32LSU Why here?
33USC Why here?
34Nebraska Why here?
35Kentucky Why here?
36South Florida Why here?
37South Carolina Why here?
38Oklahoma State Why here?
39Auburn Why here?
40Indiana Why here?
41Baylor Why here?
42Boise State Why here?
43Toledo Why here?
44Duke Why here?
45Arizona State Why here?
46Ohio State Why here?
47Washington Why here?
48SMU Why here?
49Northwestern Why here?
50Clemson Why here?