PUBLIC RANKINGS

My CFB Baseline · 2026 through Week 4 · revision 3

2026 season · through week 4

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Calculated Sep 26, 2026 · 6:36 PM CDT.

My CFB Example rankings using persisted real data and the same point-in-time rules documented in the methodology.

Model configuration used
Configuration
Revision 3
Engine version
3.8.0-kickoff-chronology
Evidence cutoff
Sep 26, 2026 · 6:32 PM CDT
Factor keyNormalized share
adj_margin0.108108
avoid_bad_losses0.040541
close_game_wins0.027027
defense_ppg0.067568
offense_ppg0.067568
preseason_portal0.040541
preseason_previous_performance0.054054
preseason_recruiting0.067568
preseason_returning0.054054
preseason_talent0.067568
quality_wins0.081081
recent_form0.054054
road_neutral_wins0.040541
sos0.081081
statement_wins0.040541
win_pct0.108108

These values came from this immutable run, not the model’s current settings.

RankTeamExplanation
1Notre Dame Why here?
2Alabama Why here?
3Texas Tech Why here?
4UCLA Why here?
5Pittsburgh Why here?
6Missouri Why here?
7Florida Why here?
8West Virginia Why here?
9Texas Why here?
10Utah Why here?
11Mississippi State Why here?
12BYU Why here?
13North Dakota State Why here?
14Virginia Tech Why here?
15Tulsa Why here?
16Tennessee Why here?
17UCF Why here?
18Vanderbilt Why here?
19Houston Why here?
20James Madison Why here?
21Oregon Why here?
22Kansas State Why here?
23Iowa Why here?
24Penn State Why here?
25Virginia Why here?
26Georgia Why here?
27Texas A&M Why here?
28Cincinnati Why here?
29Massachusetts Why here?
30Kentucky Why here?
31Miami Why here?
32USC Why here?
33Nebraska Why here?
34South Florida Why here?
35South Carolina Why here?
36Oklahoma State Why here?
37Auburn Why here?
38Indiana Why here?
39LSU Why here?
40Baylor Why here?
41Boise State Why here?
42Toledo Why here?
43Duke Why here?
44Ole Miss Why here?
45Arizona State Why here?
46Ohio State Why here?
47Washington Why here?
48SMU Why here?
49Northwestern Why here?
50North Carolina Why here?