PUBLIC RANKINGS

My CFB Baseline · 2026 through Week 4 · revision 3

2026 season · through week 4

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Calculated Sep 26, 2026 · 6:47 PM CDT.

My CFB Example rankings using persisted real data and the same point-in-time rules documented in the methodology.

Model configuration used
Configuration
Revision 3
Engine version
3.8.0-kickoff-chronology
Evidence cutoff
Sep 26, 2026 · 6:43 PM CDT
Factor keyNormalized share
adj_margin0.108108
avoid_bad_losses0.040541
close_game_wins0.027027
defense_ppg0.067568
offense_ppg0.067568
preseason_portal0.040541
preseason_previous_performance0.054054
preseason_recruiting0.067568
preseason_returning0.054054
preseason_talent0.067568
quality_wins0.081081
recent_form0.054054
road_neutral_wins0.040541
sos0.081081
statement_wins0.040541
win_pct0.108108

These values came from this immutable run, not the model’s current settings.

RankTeamExplanation
1Notre Dame Why here?
2Alabama Why here?
3Texas Tech Why here?
4UCLA Why here?
5Pittsburgh Why here?
6Missouri Why here?
7Florida Why here?
8West Virginia Why here?
9Texas Why here?
10Utah Why here?
11Mississippi State Why here?
12BYU Why here?
13North Dakota State Why here?
14Virginia Tech Why here?
15Tulsa Why here?
16Tennessee Why here?
17UCF Why here?
18Houston Why here?
19James Madison Why here?
20Oregon Why here?
21Kansas State Why here?
22Iowa Why here?
23Penn State Why here?
24Georgia Why here?
25Texas A&M Why here?
26Cincinnati Why here?
27Virginia Why here?
28Massachusetts Why here?
29Kentucky Why here?
30Auburn Why here?
31Miami Why here?
32USC Why here?
33Nebraska Why here?
34South Florida Why here?
35South Carolina Why here?
36Oklahoma State Why here?
37Indiana Why here?
38LSU Why here?
39Boise State Why here?
40Baylor Why here?
41Toledo Why here?
42Duke Why here?
43Ole Miss Why here?
44Arizona State Why here?
45Ohio State Why here?
46Washington Why here?
47SMU Why here?
48Vanderbilt Why here?
49Northwestern Why here?
50North Carolina Why here?