PUBLIC RANKINGS

My CFB Baseline · 2026 through Week 4 · revision 3

2026 season · through week 4

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Calculated Sep 26, 2026 · 7:23 PM CDT.

My CFB Example rankings using persisted real data and the same point-in-time rules documented in the methodology.

Model configuration used
Configuration
Revision 3
Engine version
3.8.0-kickoff-chronology
Evidence cutoff
Sep 26, 2026 · 7:19 PM CDT
Factor keyNormalized share
adj_margin0.108108
avoid_bad_losses0.040541
close_game_wins0.027027
defense_ppg0.067568
offense_ppg0.067568
preseason_portal0.040541
preseason_previous_performance0.054054
preseason_recruiting0.067568
preseason_returning0.054054
preseason_talent0.067568
quality_wins0.081081
recent_form0.054054
road_neutral_wins0.040541
sos0.081081
statement_wins0.040541
win_pct0.108108

These values came from this immutable run, not the model’s current settings.

RankTeamExplanation
101Old Dominion Why here?
102Purdue Why here?
103South Alabama Why here?
104Southern Miss Why here?
105Fresno State Why here?
106Middle Tennessee Why here?
107Rice Why here?
108Arkansas State Why here?
109Tulane Why here?
110Georgia Southern Why here?
111Central Michigan Why here?
112Missouri State Why here?
113Kent State Why here?
114Utah State Why here?
115San José State Why here?
116Buffalo Why here?
117Sacramento State Why here?
118Florida Atlantic Why here?
119Navy Why here?
120Wyoming Why here?
121Eastern Michigan Why here?
122UAB Why here?
123UTEP Why here?
124Texas State Why here?
125New Mexico State Why here?
126UNLV Why here?
127Ball State Why here?
128Nevada Why here?
129Florida International Why here?
130Charlotte Why here?
131North Texas Why here?
132Western Kentucky Why here?
133Northern Illinois Why here?
134Akron Why here?
135Stanford Why here?
136Bowling Green Why here?
137UL Monroe Why here?
138Hawai'i Why here?