PUBLIC RANKINGS

My CFB Baseline · 2026 through Week 4 · revision 3

2026 season · through week 4

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Calculated Sep 26, 2026 · 7:33 PM CDT.

My CFB Example rankings using persisted real data and the same point-in-time rules documented in the methodology.

Model configuration used
Configuration
Revision 3
Engine version
3.8.0-kickoff-chronology
Evidence cutoff
Sep 26, 2026 · 7:31 PM CDT
Factor keyNormalized share
adj_margin0.108108
avoid_bad_losses0.040541
close_game_wins0.027027
defense_ppg0.067568
offense_ppg0.067568
preseason_portal0.040541
preseason_previous_performance0.054054
preseason_recruiting0.067568
preseason_returning0.054054
preseason_talent0.067568
quality_wins0.081081
recent_form0.054054
road_neutral_wins0.040541
sos0.081081
statement_wins0.040541
win_pct0.108108

These values came from this immutable run, not the model’s current settings.

RankTeamExplanation
51TCU Why here?
52Penn State Why here?
53Liberty Why here?
54Georgia State Why here?
55South Florida Why here?
56California Why here?
57Arizona Why here?
58Maryland Why here?
59App State Why here?
60Air Force Why here?
61Michigan Why here?
62Delaware Why here?
63Minnesota Why here?
64Army Why here?
65Troy Why here?
66Louisville Why here?
67Syracuse Why here?
68Michigan State Why here?
69NC State Why here?
70Miami (OH) Why here?
71Kansas Why here?
72Florida State Why here?
73Oregon State Why here?
74New Mexico Why here?
75Wake Forest Why here?
76Iowa State Why here?
77Colorado Why here?
78East Carolina Why here?
79Western Michigan Why here?
80UTSA Why here?
81Georgia Tech Why here?
82Boston College Why here?
83Washington State Why here?
84Memphis Why here?
85Oklahoma Why here?
86UConn Why here?
87Jacksonville State Why here?
88Rutgers Why here?
89Illinois Why here?
90Louisiana Tech Why here?
91Louisiana Why here?
92Coastal Carolina Why here?
93Ohio Why here?
94San Diego State Why here?
95Sam Houston Why here?
96Kennesaw State Why here?
97Arkansas Why here?
98Colorado State Why here?
99Marshall Why here?
100Temple Why here?