PUBLIC RANKINGS

My CFB Baseline · 2026 through Week 4 · revision 3

2026 season · through week 4

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Calculated Sep 26, 2026 · 7:46 PM CDT.

My CFB Example rankings using persisted real data and the same point-in-time rules documented in the methodology.

Model configuration used
Configuration
Revision 3
Engine version
3.8.0-kickoff-chronology
Evidence cutoff
Sep 26, 2026 · 7:42 PM CDT
Factor keyNormalized share
adj_margin0.108108
avoid_bad_losses0.040541
close_game_wins0.027027
defense_ppg0.067568
offense_ppg0.067568
preseason_portal0.040541
preseason_previous_performance0.054054
preseason_recruiting0.067568
preseason_returning0.054054
preseason_talent0.067568
quality_wins0.081081
recent_form0.054054
road_neutral_wins0.040541
sos0.081081
statement_wins0.040541
win_pct0.108108

These values came from this immutable run, not the model’s current settings.

RankTeamExplanation
101Old Dominion Why here?
102South Alabama Why here?
103Southern Miss Why here?
104Fresno State Why here?
105Arkansas State Why here?
106Purdue Why here?
107Middle Tennessee Why here?
108Tulane Why here?
109Rice Why here?
110Georgia Southern Why here?
111Central Michigan Why here?
112Kent State Why here?
113Missouri State Why here?
114Utah State Why here?
115San José State Why here?
116Sacramento State Why here?
117Florida Atlantic Why here?
118Navy Why here?
119Buffalo Why here?
120Wyoming Why here?
121UAB Why here?
122UTEP Why here?
123Texas State Why here?
124Eastern Michigan Why here?
125New Mexico State Why here?
126UNLV Why here?
127Ball State Why here?
128Nevada Why here?
129Charlotte Why here?
130Florida International Why here?
131North Texas Why here?
132Western Kentucky Why here?
133Akron Why here?
134Northern Illinois Why here?
135Stanford Why here?
136UL Monroe Why here?
137Bowling Green Why here?
138Hawai'i Why here?