PUBLIC RANKINGS

My CFB Baseline · 2026 through Week 4 · revision 3

2026 season · through week 4

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Calculated Sep 26, 2026 · 7:56 PM CDT.

My CFB Example rankings using persisted real data and the same point-in-time rules documented in the methodology.

Model configuration used
Configuration
Revision 3
Engine version
3.8.0-kickoff-chronology
Evidence cutoff
Sep 26, 2026 · 7:53 PM CDT
Factor keyNormalized share
adj_margin0.108108
avoid_bad_losses0.040541
close_game_wins0.027027
defense_ppg0.067568
offense_ppg0.067568
preseason_portal0.040541
preseason_previous_performance0.054054
preseason_recruiting0.067568
preseason_returning0.054054
preseason_talent0.067568
quality_wins0.081081
recent_form0.054054
road_neutral_wins0.040541
sos0.081081
statement_wins0.040541
win_pct0.108108

These values came from this immutable run, not the model’s current settings.

RankTeamExplanation
101Old Dominion Why here?
102South Alabama Why here?
103Southern Miss Why here?
104Arkansas State Why here?
105Purdue Why here?
106Fresno State Why here?
107Middle Tennessee Why here?
108Rice Why here?
109Tulane Why here?
110Georgia Southern Why here?
111Florida International Why here?
112Central Michigan Why here?
113Florida Atlantic Why here?
114Missouri State Why here?
115Kent State Why here?
116Utah State Why here?
117Buffalo Why here?
118San José State Why here?
119Navy Why here?
120Sacramento State Why here?
121UAB Why here?
122Wyoming Why here?
123UTEP Why here?
124Texas State Why here?
125Eastern Michigan Why here?
126New Mexico State Why here?
127UNLV Why here?
128Ball State Why here?
129Nevada Why here?
130Charlotte Why here?
131North Texas Why here?
132Western Kentucky Why here?
133Northern Illinois Why here?
134Akron Why here?
135Stanford Why here?
136Bowling Green Why here?
137UL Monroe Why here?
138Hawai'i Why here?