PUBLIC RANKINGS

My CFB Baseline · 2026 through Week 4 · revision 3

2026 season · through week 4

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Calculated Sep 26, 2026 · 8:39 PM CDT.

My CFB Example rankings using persisted real data and the same point-in-time rules documented in the methodology.

Model configuration used
Configuration
Revision 3
Engine version
3.8.0-kickoff-chronology
Evidence cutoff
Sep 26, 2026 · 8:37 PM CDT
Factor keyNormalized share
adj_margin0.108108
avoid_bad_losses0.040541
close_game_wins0.027027
defense_ppg0.067568
offense_ppg0.067568
preseason_portal0.040541
preseason_previous_performance0.054054
preseason_recruiting0.067568
preseason_returning0.054054
preseason_talent0.067568
quality_wins0.081081
recent_form0.054054
road_neutral_wins0.040541
sos0.081081
statement_wins0.040541
win_pct0.108108

These values came from this immutable run, not the model’s current settings.

RankTeamExplanation
51Penn State Why here?
52TCU Why here?
53Vanderbilt Why here?
54Georgia State Why here?
55California Why here?
56Liberty Why here?
57Arizona Why here?
58Maryland Why here?
59Air Force Why here?
60App State Why here?
61Army Why here?
62Michigan Why here?
63Minnesota Why here?
64Troy Why here?
65Louisville Why here?
66Syracuse Why here?
67NC State Why here?
68Miami (OH) Why here?
69Kansas Why here?
70Oregon State Why here?
71Florida State Why here?
72New Mexico Why here?
73Iowa State Why here?
74Wake Forest Why here?
75Colorado Why here?
76East Carolina Why here?
77UTSA Why here?
78Western Michigan Why here?
79Georgia Tech Why here?
80Boston College Why here?
81Michigan State Why here?
82Washington State Why here?
83Oklahoma Why here?
84Memphis Why here?
85Delaware Why here?
86UConn Why here?
87Jacksonville State Why here?
88Rutgers Why here?
89Illinois Why here?
90Louisiana Tech Why here?
91Louisiana Why here?
92Ohio Why here?
93Sam Houston Why here?
94San Diego State Why here?
95Kennesaw State Why here?
96Coastal Carolina Why here?
97Arkansas Why here?
98Colorado State Why here?
99Marshall Why here?
100Temple Why here?